Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
18 signals across 3 markets · $74,817 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This event tracks the PGL Astana Group Stage best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between Heroic and magic, with the market resolving based on which team wins the match. PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity so far, including a sharp signal showing 93% backing the underdog.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner joins Heroic cluster
Coordinated Heroic buying is notable because it includes a highly profitable 92% winner with extensive cross-market history, alongside one-sided flow and a sharp pre-event price move.
$6,097Score: 14.7 - Profitable cluster on underdog
Four wallets are taking the same contrarian Heroic side, with price impact and participation from profitable high-volume bettors including an 80% winner.
$7,070Score: 10.5 - Profitable esports cluster
Three experienced esports bettors, including two profitable serial cross-market traders, bought Heroic together around 47–49¢ despite recent downward price pressure.
$5,196Score: 10.2 - 80% serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports bettor with an 80% record and $1.35M tracked activity made a $10.6k Heroic buy while also positioning across related event markets.
$10,571Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.3 - Serial trader riding momentum
High-score alert: a very active cross-market trader bought magic before a sharp pre-match move, with volume and price action confirming momentum despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
$4,957Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 9.2 - 93% sharp backs underdog
Elite esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.57M profit is taking a $5k position on magic at 40¢, larger than recent market activity.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - 93% winner buying Heroic
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and $244k profit is buying $5k of Heroic at 61¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a $3k magic position amid an 89x pre-event volume spike and broader cross-market positioning on the same CS event.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 7.3 - Profitable serial esports whale
Very high-volume serial esports trader with $2.26M lifetime profit is buying magic at 40¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike and related cross-market positioning.
$3,289Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 6.3 - Momentum spike buyer
Surfaced for market momentum rather than wallet quality: a major pre-event volume spike and rapid Heroic price move followed this buy, though the bettor's lifetime P&L is negative.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 6.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x25acbc…3e47$12,274 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$10,462 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$9,865 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x871886…5040$4,957 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x5e6e2c…be00$4,383 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x2687cb…1363$1,703 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xe3d4de…2bac$1,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$1,130 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Heroic vs magic odds on Polymarket?
The Heroic vs magic prediction market reflects trader-implied odds for which team will win the BO3 match at PGL Astana. Prices can move quickly as bettors react to maps, roster news, form, and liquidity.
What is the smart money doing on Heroic vs magic?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing 93% of sharp activity backing the underdog. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it suggests experienced traders see value away from the favorite.
How does the Heroic vs magic Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Heroic if Heroic wins the match and to magic if magic wins. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, it may resolve 50-50 under the market rules.
When is Heroic vs magic scheduled to be played?
The match was initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00 AM ET as part of the PGL Astana Group Stage. Polymarket resolution depends on the official match result and timing rules.
Why track this CS2 match on PolySpotter?
PolySpotter highlights smart money signals, sharp bettor positioning, and market movement around events like Heroic vs magic, helping users see more than just the headline odds.