Part of: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if it is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money across 1 signal, including sharp activity backing Heroic despite underdog-related alert language.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,000.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% winner buying Heroic

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and $244k profit is buying $5k of Heroic at 61¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $244k lifetime.
  • They have traded 133 related events with a 93% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • A $5k buy at 61¢ implies they see Heroic as meaningfully underpriced.

$5,000 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% sharp backs underdog

Elite esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.57M profit is taking a $5k position on magic at 40¢, larger than recent market activity.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.57M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 399 events and over $5.3M wagered.
  • The $5k buy is larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction on magic at 40¢.

$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30c7...ac3b Heroic, $20,000 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 magic, $12,500 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x6902...b4ca Heroic, $8,197 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x29b5...cc6c magic, $5,878 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xdcaf...e271 Heroic, $5,000
  6. 0x4b59...3aa6 magic, $4,215 (61% win rate)
  7. 0xcb51...d2f5 magic, $3,808 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xf917...bde0 magic, $2,000 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xb57a...b8c3 magic, $1,184 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xcb9b...6df8 magic, $1,000 (51% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

8hCounter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$10,000 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Heroic
59¢
magic
42¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Heroic and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Heroic
62¢
61¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$5,000 on Heroic at 61¢

61¢59¢2¢

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$5,000 on magic at 40¢

40¢42¢2¢

Related Theses