Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
5 signals across 2 markets · $25,678 tracked · resolves Sep 2, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Counter-Strike BO3 between HOTU and paiN in the IEM Beijing Global Qualifier Playoffs. The market trades both match outcomes, and a bettor with a reported 98% win rate recently added to HOTU, with $1,300 in smart money tracked across the event.

Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% winner backs paiN heavily
A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a $16,195 concentrated bet on paiN in a relatively thin market.
$16,195Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 92% win-rate esports bettor backs paiN
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,156 bet on paiN in a very low-volume esports market.
$1,156Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.7 - 97% win-rate bettor backs paiN
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 171 resolved positions is buying paiN at 44%, indicating strong conviction despite HOTU being the slight market favorite.
$1,327Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 98% win-rate bettor adds to HOTU
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 98% win rate is adding to an existing HOTU position at 54 cents.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.4 - Serial sharp backing paiN
A proven 82% winner with a substantial cross-market record added to paiN during a major volume spike, though the position is currently underwater.
$5,700Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x73e3fe…1be9$17,522 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x2525e5…3ddd$5,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x7e1827…872e$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$1,156 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the HOTU vs paiN prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds for HOTU and paiN change as traders buy and sell shares. Check the live event page for the latest implied probabilities for each match outcome.
What is the smart money betting on in HOTU vs paiN?
PolySpotter recorded an additional HOTU position from a bettor with a reported 98% win rate. The event has $1,300 in tracked smart money and one smart-money signal.
When will the HOTU vs paiN market resolve?
The match is scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, with the event set to resolve by September 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC, subject to the exchange's rules for postponements.
What outcomes are traded in this Counter-Strike market?
The market covers the BO3 match winner: HOTU or paiN. If the match is canceled without being played or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.