Part of: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,627.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

97% win-rate bettor backs paiN

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 171 resolved positions is buying paiN at 44%, indicating strong conviction despite HOTU being the slight market favorite.

  • This bettor has won 166 of 171 resolved positions and earned $2.45M in profit.
  • They are taking a fresh $1,327 position on paiN at 44%, even though the market currently favors HOTU at 56%.
  • The wallet has traded across 104 events and 115 markets, suggesting a well-established, repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,327 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate bettor adds to HOTU

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 98% win rate is adding to an existing HOTU position at 54 cents.

  • This bettor has won 252 of 256 resolved trades and earned nearly $79,000 in profit.
  • They are increasing an existing HOTU position with a $1,300 buy at 54¢.
  • The entry price is below the market's roughly 55% implied probability despite this bettor's exceptional track record across 27 events.

$1,300 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 21917338, $5,171 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xbdd2...6657 Outcome 21917338, $4,283 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xbbf3...aa3a Outcome 21917338, $3,165 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x73e3...1be9 Outcome 21917338, $3,064 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xeaaa...0c1e Outcome 21917338, $2,084 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xda0e...7086 Outcome 21917338, $2,000 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x4d35...b406 Outcome 21917338, $1,921 (84% win rate)
  8. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 21917338, $1,694 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 21917338, $1,306 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xc1e7...223a Outcome 21917338, $1,142

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FUT Esports Sweep Inner Circle

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magic will beat 9z

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3DMAX will beat Gentle Mates

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9INE wins against HOTU

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9INE will win the BO3 series

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3DMAX will win series

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FaZe Will Beat Alliance in BO3

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Alliance will beat TYLOO

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1WIN will win the BO3 series

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Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs$2,627 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between HOTU and paiN in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against HOTU. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “HOTU
60¢
53¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

10d ago

$1,327 on paiN at 44¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

10d ago

$1,300 on HOTU at 54¢

Related Theses