Event

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

14 signals across 4 markets · $126,473 tracked · resolves Aug 15, 2026

Follow prediction-market odds for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Group D upper-bracket semifinal. PolySpotter tracks the match outcome market and shows recent smart money activity, including a sharp bettor scaling into NAVI.

Markets (4)

  1. Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D9 signals · $87,495 tracked
  2. Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner3 signals · $31,066 tracked
  3. Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner1 signal · $6,752 tracked
  4. Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)1 signal · $1,159 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cluster backing Natus Vincere

    A $70K one-sided Natus Vincere position combines multiple proven, profitable bettors with a sharp volume spike and broad cross-market conviction.

    $31,153Score: 8.7
  2. Sharp bettor joins coordinated NAVI buying

    A proven 85% winner and four other wallets added roughly $18,900 to Natus Vincere amid a major event-driven volume spike and price move.

    $18,869Score: 7.6
  3. Three-wallet TheMongolz buying cluster

    Three wallets committed nearly $11,000 to TheMongolz amid a 19x volume spike and substantial price movement, though their historical records do not show a clear edge.

    $10,997Score: 6.9
  4. Profitable serial bettor backs NAVI

    A highly experienced cross-market bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, 74% wins, and $2.3M profit bought Natus Vincere at 71%.

    $1,890Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.8
  5. Sharp serial bettor backs NAVI

    A highly profitable serial trader with 82% wins and a substantial historical edge made a fresh $1,200 bet on Natus Vincere despite the market now pricing them at 45%.

    $1,200Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.8
  6. Four-wallet NAV conviction cluster

    Four wallets coordinated $6,752 toward Natus Vincere, driving the market sharply in their favor despite only moderate historical edge.

    $6,752Score: 6.2
  7. 99% win-rate bettor adds to NAVI

    A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and $464,000 lifetime profit is adding $8,103 to an existing Natus Vincere position.

    $8,103Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.6
  8. 95% winner exits TheMongolz

    An exceptionally sharp, highly active bettor exited TheMongolz, implying a move toward Natus Vincere, though the prior position makes this more like profit-taking than a fresh bet.

    $7,409Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6
  9. 95% win-rate esports sharp

    An exceptionally profitable esports bettor with a 95% win rate and 837 resolved positions placed a fresh $4.2K bet on Natus Vincere.

    $4,213Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  10. Proven sharp backs Natus Vincere

    A highly experienced bettor with 994 resolved positions and a substantial edge made a concentrated $22,740 bet on Natus Vincere.

    $22,740Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x38337d33d1$22,740 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
  2. 0xe55aabecf7$8,103 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  3. 0x63ad2e790c$7,775 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  4. 0xcd30f4f316$7,409 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  5. 0xdd882adadb$6,103 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 75% wins
  6. 0xf7c2669b8d$4,213 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  7. 0x37243769b5$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  8. 0x781949bdb0$1,159 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere odds?

The live odds are available on the PolySpotter event page and reflect the market’s estimated probability of TheMongolz or Natus Vincere winning the BO3 match.

What is the TheMongolz vs NAVI prediction market?

It is a Polymarket outcome market for the Esports World Cup Group D upper-bracket semifinal. The market resolves to TheMongolz or Natus Vincere based on the winner of the match.

What is smart money doing in the TheMongolz vs NAVI market?

PolySpotter has tracked $7,775 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert says a sharp bettor scaled into NAVI.

When does the TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere market resolve?

The match was initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by August 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC. Cancellation, a tie, or an extended delay may affect resolution under the market rules.