Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,495.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor backs NAVI

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, 74% wins, and $2.3M profit bought Natus Vincere at 71%.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3M.
  • They consistently trade across 733 events, indicating broad market experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • Natus Vincere was bought at 71%, near the 70% market price, so the edge comes primarily from the bettor’s proven track record.

$1,890 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp cluster backing Natus Vincere

A $70K one-sided Natus Vincere position combines multiple proven, profitable bettors with a sharp volume spike and broad cross-market conviction.

  • Nine wallets deployed $70,109 toward Natus Vincere, with most adding to existing positions rather than making isolated bets.
  • Several participants have strong records, including 79% wins over 995 bets, 82% over 288, and 96% over 700.
  • Trading volume was 42.9 times its historical average, while related-event positioning spans three markets and 118+ events for some bettors.

$31,153 on Natus Vincere

Profitable serial bettor backs NAVI

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, 74% wins, and $2.3M profit bought Natus Vincere at 71%.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3M.
  • They consistently trade across 733 events, indicating broad market experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • Natus Vincere was bought at 71%, near the 70% market price, so the edge comes primarily from the bettor’s proven track record.

$2,793 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%

Proven sharp backs Natus Vincere

A highly experienced bettor with 994 resolved positions and a substantial edge made a concentrated $22,740 bet on Natus Vincere.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 994 resolved trades and is up $2.83M lifetime.
  • They committed $22,740 to Natus Vincere across two buys, including a $13,140 purchase at 73¢.
  • The trader’s average winning entry is 55%, making this 64–73¢ position notably more expensive but still supported by a strong track record.

$22,740 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

99% win-rate bettor adds to NAVI

A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and $464,000 lifetime profit is adding $8,103 to an existing Natus Vincere position.

  • This bettor has won 71 of 72 resolved positions and is up $464,000 lifetime.
  • They are adding $8,103 to an existing Natus Vincere position at 73¢, signaling continued conviction.
  • The position follows activity across 95 events, showing a repeatable cross-market trading pattern.

$8,103 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 99%

95% win-rate esports sharp

An exceptionally profitable esports bettor with a 95% win rate and 837 resolved positions placed a fresh $4.2K bet on Natus Vincere.

  • This bettor wins 95% of 837 resolved positions and is up $819,616 lifetime.
  • They placed a fresh $4,213 bet on Natus Vincere at 71¢, closely matching the current 72% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 315 events and 342 markets, showing a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off win.

$4,213 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial bettor backs NAVI

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, 74% wins, and $2.3M profit bought Natus Vincere at 71%.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3M.
  • They consistently trade across 733 events, indicating broad market experience rather than a one-off bet.
  • Natus Vincere was bought at 71%, near the 70% market price, so the edge comes primarily from the bettor’s proven track record.

$1,420 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%

95% winner exits TheMongolz

An exceptionally sharp, highly active bettor exited TheMongolz, implying a move toward Natus Vincere, though the prior position makes this more like profit-taking than a fresh bet.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 199 resolved positions and earned over $6.7 million.
  • The wallet trades across 257 markets and 185 events, making its directional exit more informative than a typical position close.
  • TheMongolz shares were sold at 29¢ after being bought at 27¢, so this appears to be a modest exit rather than a major new conviction bet.

$7,409 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor scales into NAVI

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $7,775 to an existing Natus Vincere position.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 245 resolved positions and is up $76,611.
  • They added $7,775 to an existing Natus Vincere position at 73¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • The bet is meaningful relative to the flagged $4,879 in 24-hour volume.

$7,775 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x73e3...1be9 Outcome 56865815, $151,331 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 56865815, $149,867 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x27c5...6d61 Outcome 56865815, $48,672 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 56865815, $44,552 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xf958...db13 Outcome 56865815, $10,000 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x6e2c...787c Outcome 56865815, $8,184 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x4337...8882 Outcome 56865815, $6,948 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x8adb...e4f6 Outcome 56865815, $5,000 (72% win rate)
  9. 0xf2a5...55d6 Outcome 56865815, $5,000 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 56865815, $5,000 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

Covers 3 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

ResolvedCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$87,495 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
90¢
79¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$1,890 on Natus Vincere at 71¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$31,153 on Natus Vincere at 63¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$2,793 on Natus Vincere at 71¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$22,740 on Natus Vincere at 69¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$8,103 on Natus Vincere at 73¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$4,213 on Natus Vincere at 71¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$1,420 on Natus Vincere at 71¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

8d ago

$7,409 on Natus Vincere at 71¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

9d ago

$7,775 on Natus Vincere at 73¢

Related Theses

G2 wins in five
Wallet_0x38337 trades 4 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KO…
Karmine wins, games split early
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Espor…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winn…
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…
Bilibili takes games, Dplus series
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …