Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
17 signals across 4 markets · $290,459 tracked · resolves Aug 16, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the Counter-Strike BO3 between TheMongolz and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D lower-bracket semifinal. The event trades both match outcomes—TheMongolz or paiN—with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie; a sharp bettor has recently scaled into TheMongolz.

Markets (4)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner8 signals · $173,989 tracked
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner3 signals · $46,975 tracked
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D5 signals · $45,452 tracked
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)1 signal · $24,043 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads 11-wallet Mongolz push
A concentrated $40.5K TheMongolz position is reinforced by an exceptionally sharp 91% win-rate bettor and a major volume spike, despite the market already moving substantially higher.
$26,329Score: 9.3 - 98% win-rate bettor scaling into paiN
An exceptionally profitable esports bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.74M profit is adding $23.4K to an existing paiN position near 51¢.
$11,217Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.2 - 95% winner backs paiN
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial event-specific positioning made a fresh $13,206 bet on paiN at 38%.
$13,206Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.7 - 95% winner backs paiN
A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate made a concentrated $36,181 paiN position at an average price near 46¢, with the market already moving toward 48¢.
$36,181Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.0 - 98% win-rate bettor scaling into paiN
An exceptionally profitable esports bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.74M profit is adding $23.4K to an existing paiN position near 51¢.
$23,367Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.9 - 98% winner scaling into paiN
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate added $37.5k to an existing paiN position amid a 103x volume spike.
$37,456Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.9 - 98% winner scaling into paiN
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate added $37.5k to an existing paiN position amid a 103x volume spike.
$19,206Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.9 - 95% win-rate serial bettor backs paiN
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge made a fresh, concentrated bet on paiN, exceeding the market's 24-hour volume.
$22,582Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.7 - 92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly proven esports trader with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying TheMongolz at 62%.
$1,312Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - 94% winner adds to paiN
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $19,159 to an existing paiN position.
$19,159Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcd30f4…f316$111,840 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x73e3fe…1be9$99,398 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 98% wins
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$19,159 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xf17713…5f6a$14,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$9,150 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x91667e…b479$7,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x1f2df9…2b35$1,830 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$1,312 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the TheMongolz vs paiN prediction-market odds?
The latest Polymarket odds show the market’s implied probabilities for TheMongolz and paiN to win the BO3. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders react to news and match conditions.
What is smart money doing in TheMongolz vs paiN?
PolySpotter has tracked $14,001 in smart-money activity across this event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a sharp bettor scaled into TheMongolz.
When is TheMongolz vs paiN scheduled?
The match is initially scheduled for August 16, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET as part of the Esports World Cup Group D lower-bracket semifinal.
How will the TheMongolz vs paiN market resolve?
The market resolves to TheMongolz if they win and to paiN if they win. If the match is canceled and not played, or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50; postponed matches follow the exchange’s rescheduling rules.