Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $24,043.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% win-rate bettor backs paiN

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate and exceptional 41-point edge concentrated $24,043 into paiN, mostly at 50¢ before the price rose to 68¢.

  • This bettor has won 216 of 227 resolved positions, earning $7.7 million with a 41-point edge over average odds.
  • They invested $24,043 in paiN, including $22,748 at 50¢ before the market moved to 68¢.
  • The wallet has traded 215 events and 303 markets, providing unusually strong evidence that this is a sharp bettor rather than a one-off wager.

$24,043 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 83481604, $3,664 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 83481604, $604 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x0e50...2609 Outcome 83481604, $600 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x83c4...3212 Outcome 83481604, $294 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x5181...504b Outcome 83481604, $110
  6. 0x5f43...3a74 Outcome 83481604, $100
  7. 0xb54c...7f56 Outcome 83481604, $55
  8. 0x70b4...6815 Outcome 83481604, $55
  9. 0x3308...f04b Outcome 83481604, $36 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xd416...0f17 Outcome 83481604, $33

Related Theses

JD Gaming wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS

Covers 3 related markets

Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE will sweep Top Esports

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA

Covers 3 related markets

LGD Gaming Wins All Markets

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE wins, fails to ascend

Covers 4 related markets

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$24,043 tracked1 signalEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between TheMongolz and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz wins 2 or more maps than paiN in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “TheMongolz
62¢
47¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

7d ago

$24,043 on paiN at 51¢

Related Theses

JD Gaming wins series 2-1
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…
FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …
Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…
Team WE will sweep Top Esports
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (B…LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …
Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…
LGD Gaming Wins All Markets
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…
Karmine wins, games split early
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Espor…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winn…
Bilibili takes games, Dplus series
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …
Team WE wins, fails to ascend
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 4 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs T…