Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
13 signals across 3 markets · $104,954 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026
Monte vs magic is a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the PGL Astana Group Stage, with prediction-market traders pricing which team will win the series. PolySpotter tracks the full event market, including current odds movement and smart money activity such as a profitable serial esports trader signal.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Coordinated esports steam
Five wallets pushed the same CS map winner from the mid-50s to 72%, led by a highly profitable high-volume trader and a serial cross-market sports bettor.
$12,630Score: 12.7 - 86% winner buying underdog
Proven esports/cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and $416k profit bought $4k of magic at 41¢ against the current 42% market price.
$4,051Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - Profitable cluster on underdog
Three wallets bought magic together at 44–47¢, including one very high-volume profitable bettor and a 1-day-old wallet already up $2k.
$5,653Score: 8.1 - 86% winner bought Monte
Proven esports/sports sharp with an 86% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Monte for $5.1k, though price has moved sharply against the entry.
$5,131Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 98% esports sharp
Elite serial esports bettor with a 98% record and $3.7M profit is buying magic at 44% in a liquid CS2 match.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.0 - Profitable trio backs Monte
Three profitable wallets pushed $54.7k one-sided into Monte amid a 314x pre-event volume spike, including one bettor up $6.5M lifetime.
$54,739Score: 7.6 - Elite 92% winner
Elite esports trader with a 92% win rate and $2.24M profit bought Monte before a 16.8-point move to 100%, though the current price leaves no copyable edge.
$1,923Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.7 - 92% winning esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 92% resolved win rate bought Monte and the price quickly moved up afterward.
$3,404Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.7 - Profitable esports cluster
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader is buying Monte alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,302Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 5.1 - Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with a solid 62% resolved win rate and +$76.7k P&L is buying Monte at 57%, though the stake is moderate and market liquidity is high.
$4,647Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf07020…ac55$9,182 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$5,327 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$4,647 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x67bb64…b6ef$2,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xef2684…05ba$2,287 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0xe7e1eb…ec43$1,302 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xe07744…f5ee$1,226 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Monte vs magic odds on Polymarket?
The Monte vs magic Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance of each team winning the BO3 series. On PolySpotter, you can follow the event hub to see how those odds move as traders buy and sell positions.
What is the Monte vs magic prediction market about?
This prediction market covers the PGL Astana Group Stage match between Monte and magic. It resolves to Monte if Monte wins the match, to magic if magic wins, and may resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed too long without a winner.
Is smart money betting on Monte vs magic?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,647 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal from a profitable serial esports trader. That does not guarantee the result, but it can help users spot where experienced prediction-market traders are taking positions.
When does the Monte vs magic market resolve?
The market is tied to the scheduled Counter-Strike match and resolves after a winner is determined, with the event listed to resolve by May 10, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. If the match is not played or is delayed beyond the market rules, special resolution conditions may apply.
How should I use smart money signals for this CS2 match?
Smart money signals can show where historically successful traders are active, but they should be used alongside your own view of team form, maps, roster news, and market price. Esports odds can move quickly, especially before a BO3 starts.