Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Monte and magic in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 2 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 10. It resolves to Monte if Monte win Map 1, or to magic if magic win Map 1, with resolution expected on May 10, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $21,165 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent sharp activity favoring Monte.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Monte. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,088.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite 92% winner
Elite esports trader with a 92% win rate and $2.24M profit bought Monte before a 16.8-point move to 100%, though the current price leaves no copyable edge.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 305 events with $3.5M in flagged activity.
- Monte moved about 17 points after the buy, confirming the trader caught the right side.
$1,923 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winning esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 92% resolved win rate bought Monte and the price quickly moved up afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- They have traded 388 markets across 304 events, suggesting a repeatable edge in event markets.
- Monte moved from their 78¢ entry to about 81¢ after the buy, confirming near-term momentum.
$3,404 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 92%
86% winner bought Monte
Proven esports/sports sharp with an 86% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Monte for $5.1k, though price has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $414k lifetime.
- They have traded 273 markets across 148 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- The $5.1k Monte buy was placed at 66¢, but the market now shows 39¢, so this is a high-risk follow after a big move against them.
$5,131 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 86%
Coordinated esports steam
Five wallets pushed the same CS map winner from the mid-50s to 72%, led by a highly profitable high-volume trader and a serial cross-market sports bettor.
- Five wallets bought $12.6K of the same side, driving magic from about 55¢ to 72¢.
- The lead wallet is up $1.95M lifetime across very high volume, despite only winning 55% of resolved bets.
- Volume spiked 197x before the match, suggesting a sharp pre-event move rather than routine activity.
$12,630 on magic
Top Holders
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Monte, $12,380 (92% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Monte, $11,381
- 0x4713...4d21 — magic, $2,869 (44% win rate)
- 0x82dc...5700 — magic, $2,624 (50% win rate)
- 0x7193...ae51 — magic, $2,515 (69% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — magic, $2,306 (55% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Monte, $2,053
- 0x9ad6...4251 — Monte, $2,003
- 0x482d...ba5e — magic, $2,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x77a3...0e3f — magic, $1,711 (98% win rate)
