Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
20 signals across 4 markets · $136,459 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Counter-Strike BO3 between MOUZ and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs 3rd place decider. Traders are pricing which team will win the match, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,300 in smart-money activity and one recent signal from a profitable esports wallet.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 5-wallet MOUZ cluster
Strong copy-trade candidate: five wallets bought MOUZ together, including two profitable sharp bettors with 81% and 90% resolved win rates.
$9,284Score: 14.5 - 99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and strong cross-market sports history bought MOUZ at 76¢.
$2,984Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.6 - Profitable underdog cluster
Four profitable/active wallets put $44.7K on the underdog magic during a 139x pre-event volume spike, led by a whale with $10.9M lifetime profit.
$44,700Score: 10.1 - 88% winner backs underdog
Proven sharp esports bettor with an 88% win rate and $521k profit bought the underdog magic on Map 2, backed by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.
$2,646Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.2 - 81% winner on MOUZ
Sharp esports bettor with an 81% win rate and $168k lifetime profit bought MOUZ at 79%, with the market already moving to 86%.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 9.1 - 91% winner backs MOUZ
A highly profitable 91% winner with a long serial cross-market history bought MOUZ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,395Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.6 - 98% winner backs underdog
Elite esports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and nearly $4M profit bought $5k of magic despite MOUZ being favored.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0 - 96% winner buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win record and +$87,996 P&L bought magic +1.5 at 41¢.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.1 - Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial bettor bought MOUZ at 76¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a reasonable copy-trade candidate.
$3,701Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.8 - 92% winner backs favorite
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate bought MOUZ, with supporting pre-event volume spike.
$1,145Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa69d0c…509b$38,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$5,158 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x10e053…c736$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x3da89a…80c3$5,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$3,701 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x880b1f…c98b$3,493 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0xa7425e…68c5$3,395 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x51c7d3…98aa$2,984 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$2,646 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the current MOUZ vs magic prediction market odds?
The live odds come from Polymarket trading on the match winner market, where prices reflect the market-implied chance that MOUZ or magic wins the BO3.
Is smart money betting on MOUZ vs magic?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,300 in smart-money activity on this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable esports wallet. That signal can help identify where experienced prediction-market traders are taking a position.
What outcomes are being traded for this event?
This event covers the match winner: MOUZ to win the BO3 or magic to win the BO3. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed too long without a winner, the market may resolve 50-50 under the stated rules.
When does the MOUZ vs magic market resolve?
The market resolves after the BO3 winner is determined, subject to the event rules. The listed resolution deadline is May 17, 2026 at 14:00 UTC.