Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd place decider match between MOUZ and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $113,487.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial underdog bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample bought the underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against them.
- This bettor is up $296K lifetime and has won 67% of 123 resolved markets.
- They have traded across 49 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought magic at 28¢, and the market is now 12¢, making any follow available far below their entry.
$2,249 on magic | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought $5k of MOUZ during a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed esports positioning despite the short favorite price.
- This bettor is up $30,666 lifetime across 123 resolved markets.
- They have traded 90 events and bought $5,000 of MOUZ at 81¢ before the match.
- Market activity spiked 139x above its historical average, showing broader money moving in.
$5,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable underdog cluster
Four profitable/active wallets put $44.7K on the underdog magic during a 139x pre-event volume spike, led by a whale with $10.9M lifetime profit.
- Four wallets bought $44.7K of magic, a large one-sided underdog position before the match.
- The biggest buyer has $10.9M lifetime profit across 1,316 resolved bets.
- Market volume spiked 139x above normal, suggesting unusual pre-match positioning.
$44,700 on magic
91% winner backs MOUZ
A highly profitable 91% winner with a long serial cross-market history bought MOUZ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $121k lifetime.
- They have traded 41 related events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Market volume spiked 307x before the match, adding momentum behind the MOUZ buy.
$3,395 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 63%
98% winner backs underdog
Elite esports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and nearly $4M profit bought $5k of magic despite MOUZ being favored.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.94M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 375 events with a 98% hit rate.
- They bought $5,000 of the underdog at 25¢, implying a roughly 4x payout if magic wins.
$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial bettor bought MOUZ at 76¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a reasonable copy-trade candidate.
- This bettor is up $185K lifetime across 986 resolved markets with a 61% win rate.
- They have traded 295 events and $1.8M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process.
- MOUZ was bought at 76¢ while market volume spiked 64x above its usual pace.
$3,701 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial bettor
A profitable, high-volume cross-market bettor put $38k on MOUZ during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 143 markets across 116 events and is up $78k lifetime.
- They placed a concentrated $38k bet on MOUZ at 76¢.
- Market volume spiked 134x above normal before the match, suggesting fresh attention on this side.
$38,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 61%
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and strong cross-market sports history bought MOUZ at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $172,812 lifetime.
- They have traded across 36 events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 76¢ implies they see MOUZ as meaningfully underpriced despite already being favored.
$2,984 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%
Serial profitable bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record is buying MOUZ at 76%, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 73% wins across 1,003 resolved bets and $34K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 580 events with over $1.1M wagered.
- Entry at 76¢ is a favorite bet, but the wallet’s long history makes it worth tracking.
$2,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large long-term sample is taking a $5.2k underdog position on magic at 26¢.
- This bettor has won 68% of 683 resolved bets and is up about $907k lifetime.
- They are highly experienced across 253 events, with $1.75M in tracked cross-market trades.
- A $5.2k buy on magic at 26¢ implies a contrarian underdog view with roughly 3.8x upside.
$5,158 on magic | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — magic, $211,589 (62% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — magic, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — magic, $13,677 (56% win rate)
- 0xa41c...fade — magic, $11,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — magic, $9,021 (75% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — magic, $6,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x1d5c...4f26 — magic, $2,885 (75% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — magic, $2,800 (66% win rate)
- 0x3324...c3c1 — magic, $2,400
- 0x983c...ac7c — magic, $1,959 (60% win rate)
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