Event

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

12 signals across 3 markets · $100,620 tracked · resolves Oct 2, 2026

Nemiga and Alliance face off in a best-of-three upper-bracket semifinal at the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, with the event market covering either team to win. PolySpotter tracks $1,300 in smart money and one signal from a profitable serial esports bettor; odds can change as trading continues.

Markets (3)

  1. Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs5 signals · $77,745 tracked
  2. Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner4 signals · $12,856 tracked
  3. Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner3 signals · $10,019 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Three-wallet Alliance buying cluster

    Three wallets bought $6,007 of Alliance during a 39.8x volume spike, including a prolific trader with a 75% record, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

    $6,007Score: 7.0
  2. Three-wallet Nemiga conviction

    Three wallets placed $11.1K on Nemiga amid a 63x volume spike, including a bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial profits.

    $5,672Score: 6.4
  3. Proven 81% bettor adding to Nemiga

    A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate over 333 resolved bets added $2,000 to Nemiga, though the current price has fallen below their entry.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4
  4. Proven bettor backing Nemiga

    A highly profitable, highly active bettor with an 83% win rate placed a $6,445 bet on Nemiga.

    $6,445Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 4.7
  5. Profitable serial cross-market bettor

    A highly active, lifetime-profitable bettor bought Nemiga as a sharp volume spike and 21-point price rise confirmed strong market movement.

    $2,718Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.5
  6. Profitable serial trader riding Nemiga momentum

    A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor bought Nemiga at 56¢ as a sharp volume spike and 21-point price rise reinforced the position.

    $1,781Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.4
  7. Profitable serial trader adds to Alliance

    A highly profitable, prolific trader added $35,000 to an existing Alliance position, alongside a major volume spike.

    $35,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0
  8. Profitable serial trader backs Alliance

    A highly active, historically profitable trader placed a sizable Alliance bet equal to about 62% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though the price has since fallen against the position.

    $2,350Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.5
  9. Profitable serial trader adds to Alliance

    A highly profitable, proven trader is adding to a large Alliance position at 36¢, supported by extensive cross-market activity.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.4
  10. Profitable serial trader adds Alliance

    A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 62% win rate is adding $33,000 to an existing Alliance position at 38¢.

    $33,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x8a8685…4998$70,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 67% wins
  2. 0xcf609d…a6f5$6,445 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  3. 0x4ebc27…a33d$5,068 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
  4. 0x076daa…8d4c$2,347 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
  5. 0x89eb83…cff9$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
  6. 0xddc38b…029c$1,781 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
  7. 0xabf543…cfeb$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for Nemiga vs Alliance?

The market tracks the chances of Nemiga or Alliance winning the BO3. Check the live market on this page for the latest odds, which can change as traders place bets.

What is the smart money doing on Nemiga vs Alliance?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal from a profitable serial esports bettor, with $1,300 in smart money tracked across the event.

What match is this prediction market about?

It covers the Counter-Strike upper-bracket semifinal between Nemiga and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs.

When does the Nemiga vs Alliance market resolve?

The match was initially scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 1:30 PM ET, and the market is set to resolve by October 2, 2026, at 23:30 UTC. The listed rules specify a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.