Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
23 signals across 3 markets · $385,146 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the BLAST Bounty Playoffs quarterfinal between paiN and Astralis in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The event trades both possible winners, with a recent PolySpotter alert showing a profitable serial bettor backing Astralis and $6,477 in tracked smart money.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial bettor scaling into Astralis
A highly active bettor with nearly $1M in profits and a 73% win rate added $6.9K to an existing Astralis position amid a major volume surge.
$3,693Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 9.4 - Sharp bettors cluster on paiN
Eleven wallets deployed $70,000 toward paiN, including highly profitable bettors with 94% and 97% historical win rates, making this a strong coordinated sports signal despite mixed prior positions.
$36,870Score: 9.2 - 96% winner leads Astralis cluster
A large eight-wallet Astralis cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate, alongside a 466x volume spike, although substantial opposing paiN flow adds risk.
$27,674Score: 8.5 - Coordinated Astralis whale flow
Five wallets deployed $72,106 on Astralis, including a 79% bettor with substantial edge and a 97% serial cross-market trader, making this a strong coordinated esports signal despite the market now being settled.
$72,106Score: 8.5 - Sharp bettor leads paiN cluster
A highly profitable bettor and two other wallets concentrated $6,773 on paiN at 42–43¢, supported by a major volume spike and strong cross-market performance.
$6,773Score: 8.0 - 94% winner scaling into paiN
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate added $4,104 to paiN alongside three other buyers in a major volume spike.
$4,104Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 7.5 - Five-wallet paiN conviction cluster
A concentrated $129,000 paiN position across five wallets, combined with an extreme pre-event volume spike, is a notable directional signal despite mixed wallet track records and subsequent price decline.
$8,380Score: 7.3 - 96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate placed an $11.6K Astralis bet alongside a major event-volume spike.
$11,647Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.1 - Serial esports bettor adds to paiN
A proven high-volume esports trader added to an existing paiN position amid a 4-wallet coordinated buying surge and an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$3,080Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.6 - Five-wallet paiN conviction cluster
Five wallets placed $129,000 of coordinated paiN bets during a 487x volume spike, despite the lead wallet already holding a large position.
$120,231Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 6.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6d20c3…a165$120,231 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$24,107 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xdb859a…152f$21,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$13,554 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x880b1f…c98b$11,939 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x52911b…d4b6$11,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$7,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$6,477 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xe40ecf…9770$6,040 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the paiN vs Astralis prediction-market outcomes?
The market covers two outcomes: paiN wins or Astralis wins the best-of-three match. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50.
What are the current paiN vs Astralis odds?
Check the live Polymarket prices on this page for the latest implied odds on paiN and Astralis. Prices can change as traders react to team news, form, and match developments.
What is smart money doing in the paiN vs Astralis market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,477 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a profitable serial bettor backed Astralis.
When will the paiN vs Astralis market resolve?
The match was initially scheduled for July 30 at 9:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by July 31, 2026 at 9:30 PM UTC. It resolves once a winner is determined, subject to the market's cancellation and delay rules.