Part of: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $209,677.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
96% winner leads Astralis cluster
A large eight-wallet Astralis cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate, alongside a 466x volume spike, although substantial opposing paiN flow adds risk.
- Eight wallets bought $71,465 of Astralis during a 466x historical volume spike.
- One participant has won 590 of 613 resolved bets, is up nearly $5.0M, and is buying Astralis at 57%.
- A sizable opposing paiN cluster makes this a strong but contested signal rather than a one-sided certainty.
$27,674 on Astralis
Five-wallet paiN conviction cluster
Five wallets placed $129,000 of coordinated paiN bets during a 487x volume spike, despite the lead wallet already holding a large position.
- Five wallets bought paiN for a combined $129,000, creating a strong one-sided signal.
- Trading volume surged to 487 times its historical average ahead of the match.
- The lead wallet added roughly $120,000 to an existing $271,000 paiN position, though its 52% win rate is only moderate.
$120,231 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 47%
Five-wallet paiN conviction cluster
A concentrated $129,000 paiN position across five wallets, combined with an extreme pre-event volume spike, is a notable directional signal despite mixed wallet track records and subsequent price decline.
- Five wallets committed $129,000 to paiN, accounting for roughly half of the market's 24-hour volume.
- Trading activity was 282 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match positioning.
- The largest bettor is up $962,000 lifetime, while another cluster member wins 69% of resolved bets; paiN has since fallen from 44–45¢ to 38¢.
$8,380 on paiN
97% winner scaling into paiN
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding $11.7K to an existing paiN position at 41 cents.
- This bettor has won 97% of 31 resolved positions and is up $1.23M.
- The wallet is adding $11,700 to an existing $28,500 paiN position at 41¢.
- The entry is below the 58% market-implied chance for Astralis, signaling strong conviction in paiN despite a liquid market.
$11,700 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 97%
Proven sharp backing paiN
A highly experienced sports-market trader with an 82% win rate and $3.8M profit made a concentrated $21,000 bet on paiN at 42%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 336 resolved positions and is up $3.8 million lifetime.
- They placed a concentrated $21,000 bet on paiN at 42%, despite the market pricing paiN as a 42% outcome.
- The wallet has traded 670 markets across 592 events, providing strong evidence this is an informed sports position rather than a one-off bet.
$21,000 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp serial bettor backs Astralis
A highly experienced sports-market trader with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $7,200 Astralis bet.
- This bettor wins 77% of 920 resolved trades and is up $2.4 million.
- Their results imply a strong edge: they typically win despite entering at roughly 55% odds on average.
- A fresh $7,200 bet backs Astralis at 58% in a liquid esports market.
$7,200 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial trader backs Astralis
A highly experienced serial trader with a 73% win rate and nearly $2M profit made a fresh $2,015 Astralis position at 58%.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,601 resolved trades and earned nearly $2.0M in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 650 events and is taking a fresh $2,015 position on Astralis.
- Astralis was bought at 58%, with the market currently pricing the outcome near 57%.
$2,015 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 74%
95% esports bettor adds to paiN
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,000 to an existing paiN position at 44¢.
- This bettor has won 146 of 153 resolved trades and is up $506,545.
- The $5,000 purchase adds to an existing $11,420 paiN position, showing continued conviction.
- Entry at 44¢ offers roughly 2.3-to-1 upside if paiN wins, versus current 56% Astralis odds.
$5,000 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial bettor backs Astralis
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 73% win rate and $1.87M lifetime profit made a concentrated $6.5K Astralis wager in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 73% of 614 resolved trades and is up $1.87M lifetime.
- The $6,477 wager is over 16 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively thin esports market.
- The trade buys Astralis at 55¢, matching the current market price and offering a copy entry before the match.
$6,477 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x5291...d4b6 — Outcome 87811808, $72,752 (97% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 87811808, $50,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xe40e...9770 — Outcome 87811808, $50,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 87811808, $29,252 (82% win rate)
- 0x934a...a684 — Outcome 87811808, $18,264 (88% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 87811808, $17,951 (91% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 87811808, $13,155 (92% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — Outcome 87811808, $11,420 (95% win rate)
- 0xe2d0...7bbf — Outcome 87811808, $8,838 (47% win rate)
- 0x5038...6236 — Outcome 87811808, $8,713 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
G2 wins in five
Covers 4 related markets
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Covers 3 related markets
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Covers 5 related markets
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Covers 5 related markets
France routs Norway with goals
Covers 4 related markets
Argentina wins big, both score
Covers 5 related markets
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Covers 5 related markets
