Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
46 signals across 4 markets · $287,495 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Spirit vs G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs quarterfinal, a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match. Traders are pricing which team will win the series, with PolySpotter tracking $12,000 in smart money and a recent alert showing 93% winner-side buying pressure.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable esports cluster
Four wallets bought $10.6k of G2 amid a major pre-event volume spike, led by a high-volume profitable bettor up $556k lifetime despite some opposing flow.
$10,602Score: 12.6 - Sharp three-wallet cluster
High-conviction Spirit buying from a 3-wallet cluster, backed by a sharp profitable bettor and a massive pre-match volume spike.
$63,097Score: 11.5 - Profitable esports cluster
Three wallets, including two profitable high-volume serial traders and a new profitable repeat bettor, bought $5.8k of Spirit in the same direction at 69¢ on a CS map market.
$6,115Score: 10.1 - Six-wallet Spirit push
Six wallets bought $12.3k of Spirit in the same direction, driving the price from the low 60s to 80%, with several profitable high-volume esports bettors involved.
$12,274Score: 10.0 - 99% win-rate esports sharp
A highly proven esports bettor with a 99% historical win rate bought Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,671Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 9.7 - 93% winner buying big
Elite sports bettor with a 93% documented win rate and strong cross-market history bought $12K of Spirit at 65¢.
$12,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 98% win-rate serial bettor
Elite profitable esports/cross-market bettor bought G2 at 39¢ despite market odds favoring Spirit, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
$2,596Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.0 - New 9-for-9 esports bettor
Very new but already profitable esports bettor is making another large Spirit buy after going 9-for-9 on resolved positions, with the market also moving sharply upward.
$2,852Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 7.9 - 94% esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.7 - New sharp 9-0 bettor
A 1.5-day-old wallet with a perfect 9-0 record and $10.6k profit is making another contrarian esports bet, despite the market moving against its entry so far.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 7.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdd882a…dadb$43,507 · 3 markets · 8 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xa69d0c…509b$12,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0x690248…b4ca$12,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x8fbb3c…9a17$9,718 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xefe5d4…6f6b$8,591 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$7,125 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xc44f43…d49f$6,392 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x44c581…8d45$5,003 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x482d8a…ba5e$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
FAQs
What are the Spirit vs G2 prediction market odds?
The market reflects the crowd-implied probability of either Spirit or G2 winning the BO3 series. Odds can move quickly as traders react to map veto expectations, roster form, live match momentum, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Spirit vs G2?
PolySpotter has tracked $12,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent signal highlighting 93% winner buying big. That suggests notable informed or high-conviction buying on one side of the matchup.
How does the Spirit vs G2 Polymarket market resolve?
The market resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the match and to G2 if G2 win. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50.
When is Spirit vs G2 at PGL Astana?
The match was initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00 AM ET as Quarterfinal 2 of the PGL Astana Playoffs. The market is expected to resolve after the winner of the BO3 is determined.