Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the map handicap for Spirit vs G2 in Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 at the PGL Astana Playoffs. Spirit wins the market only if it finishes at least two maps ahead of G2; otherwise, G2 +1.5 resolves as the winner. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 15, 2026, with $2,856 in smart money tracked and one smart money signal currently noted.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than G2 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,283.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Spirit alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 764 resolved bets and is up $869k lifetime.
  • Three wallets are buying Spirit the same way, totaling $5.3k in one-sided flow.
  • Market volume is 34x above its usual pace, with Spirit already up 5 percentage points today.

$2,856 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable esports cluster

Four wallets bought $10.6k of G2 amid a major pre-event volume spike, led by a high-volume profitable bettor up $556k lifetime despite some opposing flow.

  • A major profitable bettor bought $6,000 of G2 and is up $556k lifetime across 447 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets put $10.6k on the same side at 59–60¢ during a 34x pre-event volume spike.
  • Current G2 odds are around 58%, slightly below the cluster’s 59–60¢ entries.

$10,602 on G2

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Experienced cross-market esports/sports-style bettor with a large profitable history is buying G2 handicap at 61¢, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 403 resolved bets, 61% wins, and $63K profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 121 events with $252K in detected activity.
  • The $5K buy on G2 is a fresh meaningful position at 61¢ in a liquid market.

$4,970 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 253-bet record and $227k lifetime profit bought G2 +1.5 at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 253 resolved bets and is up $227,682 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 109 events with nearly $694k tracked in similar activity.
  • Entry at 60¢ suggests they see G2 +1.5 as meaningfully underpriced despite an already active market.

$1,855 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 G2, $27,607 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xcf60...a6f5 Spirit, $12,500 (66% win rate)
  3. 0xc44f...d49f Spirit, $11,016 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x9770...0ff5 G2, $11,000 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x21ec...5348 Spirit, $10,000 (58% win rate)
  6. 0xafd4...7e61 G2, $10,000 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x9cd1...285d Spirit, $9,600 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x30c7...ac3b G2, $9,441 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x5e6e...be00 G2, $9,345 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x6239...1d79 G2, $8,148 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

5hCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$20,283 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
61¢
G2
40¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than G2 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Spirit
62¢
41¢
21¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

37m ago

$2,856 on Spirit at 42¢

42¢61¢19¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

47m ago

$10,602 on G2 at 60¢

60¢40¢20¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

1h ago

$4,970 on G2 at 61¢

61¢40¢21¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

2h ago

$1,855 on G2 at 60¢

60¢40¢20¢

Related Theses