Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
53 signals across 6 markets · $609,625 tracked · resolves Apr 19, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction markets for the Spirit vs Vitality best-of-five Counter-Strike grand final at the IEM Rio Playoffs. Traders are pricing the match winner, individual map winners, over/under 4.5 maps, and the Vitality -1.5 map handicap, with more than $609,000 in smart money activity tracked across the event. Recent PolySpotter alerts highlight multiple Vitality clusters, including 8-wallet and 5-wallet sharp activity, plus high win-rate bettors entering the market.
Markets (6)
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs14 signals · $260,630 tracked
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)8 signals · $116,460 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner10 signals · $111,538 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner12 signals · $74,447 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner8 signals · $44,566 tracked
- Games Total: O/U 4.51 signal · $1,983 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet Vitality cluster
An 8-wallet cluster piled more than $56k into Vitality in minutes, led by several profitable serial cross-market traders with 72-73% win rates during a massive event-wide volume surge.
$56,557Score: 31.7 - Sharp 5-wallet Vitality cluster
Five wallets piled into Vitality with nearly $17k as the price jumped from 47¢ to 90¢, and the cluster includes serial cross-market traders with elite 79% and 91% win rates.
$16,984Score: 17.2 - 89% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 89% win rate bought Spirit at 38¢ well below the market’s current 66¢ price, alongside coordinated one-sided flow from three wallets.
$1,963Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 16.8 - 95% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp sports trader with a 95% win rate bought Spirit at 36¢, backed by coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume surge.
$2,475Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 15.7 - 3-wallet Vitality surge
Three wallets piled $63.8k into Vitality on a big pre-match volume spike, led by a repeat new wallet and a bettor with a perfect 21-for-21 resolved record.
$63,844Score: 15.6 - 5-wallet sharp cluster
Five wallets piled into Spirit across related match markets during a huge volume spike, and the cluster includes multiple proven profitable bettors with strong long-run records.
$9,054Score: 15.5 - 73% win-rate cross-market bettor
A proven 73% win-rate sports trader put $36k into Vitality as part of a larger cross-market thesis, and the market has already moved strongly in their favor on a major volume spike.
$36,041Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 14.5 - Profitable new wallet cluster
A 5-day-old wallet with early profits joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Spirit during an extreme volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.
$1,716Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 13.7 - 4-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets with strong long-run results piled into Vitality across this event flow, helping drive a 19.5-point price jump during a 43x volume spike.
$17,292Score: 12.6 - 79% win-rate event trader
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 79% win rate bought Vitality at 80¢ as this event saw a sharp volume and price surge, and the market later resolved at 100¢.
$4,762Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 11.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7714c1…b814$76,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x9bad4e…861f$43,233 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 71% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$39,513 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xcc05ed…013a$39,467 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 65% wins
- 0x39932c…cded$36,276 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x47a83f…52f9$18,334 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xc69020…42b8$15,620 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$11,730 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x61fefe…0956$10,683 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x533e7d…47f4$8,923 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Spirit vs Vitality odds on Polymarket?
The event includes odds for the overall BO5 match winner, Map 1, Map 2, Map 3, total games over/under 4.5, and Vitality -1.5 versus Spirit +1.5 on the map handicap. PolySpotter tracks these markets together so you can see how the full Spirit vs Vitality prediction market is moving.
What is the smart money betting on in Spirit vs Vitality?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable Vitality-side activity, including an 8-wallet Vitality cluster, a sharp 5-wallet Vitality cluster, and a 3-wallet Vitality surge. The event has 53 smart money signals totaling about $609,625 in tracked activity.
Are high win-rate bettors involved in this market?
Yes. PolySpotter flagged activity from an 89% win-rate bettor and a 95% win-rate sharp, suggesting that experienced traders are active in the Spirit vs Vitality markets.
What outcomes can I track for Spirit vs Vitality?
You can track the match winner, the first three map winners, whether the series goes over or under 4.5 maps, and the map handicap. This gives a broader view than just the headline winner market.
When does the Spirit vs Vitality market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the IEM Rio Playoffs grand final winner is determined, with the event listed to resolve by April 19, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the main market resolves 50-50.