Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 1 in the Counter-Strike IEM Rio Playoffs grand final between Spirit and Vitality, scheduled for April 19, 2026. The market resolves based on the winner of Map 1 only, even if the full match is not completed after that map. With $49,333 in smart money tracked and multiple recent betting clusters on both sides, traders are watching this market closely for live odds and signal shifts.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and Vitality in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,333.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% win-rate sports sharp
A very high-performing serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate made a sizable buy in this sports market, making the wallet worth following despite the trade being badly underwater so far.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.95M across 851 bets
- They trade heavily across related markets with more than $2.0M deployed, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Spirit at 74¢, a very aggressive price that shows strong conviction even though the market has since dropped to 44¢
$1,624 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%
4-wallet Vitality pile-in
Four wallets piled into Vitality with $7.4k in coordinated flow, including two proven profitable bettors and a fresh wallet, while the market swung hard in their direction.
- Two strong bettors joined this move, including one who wins 87% of their bets and is up $53.7k
- The group put $7.4k on Vitality and helped flip the market hard, with Spirit dropping 28 points
- One wallet was only 36 minutes old, which adds to the signal that this was fresh conviction rather than routine trading
$7,372 on Vitality
Hot new wallet joins surge
A 10-day-old wallet with early profits and an 88% hit rate joined a 4-wallet Spirit buying wave during a sharp price breakout, making this a notable momentum-plus-conviction sports trade.
- This 10-day-old wallet is already up $18.5k and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets
- Four wallets bought Spirit together for $10.7k as the price jumped 29 points
- They paid 69¢ in a liquid market, signaling confidence even after the move higher
$2,229 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 88%
89% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 89% win rate bought Spirit at 38¢ well below the market’s current 66¢ price, alongside coordinated one-sided flow from three wallets.
- This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up about $65k across 76 resolved positions
- They bought Spirit at 38¢, and the market is now 66¢, showing strong immediate confirmation
- Three wallets all piled into Spirit for about $8.5k total while market activity surged nearly 16x
$1,963 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%
8-wallet Vitality cluster
Eight wallets, including several highly profitable serial traders and two linked by funder, piled $22k into Vitality on the same map market, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite mixed entry prices.
- Eight wallets bought Vitality in a $22k burst, and 2 of them share a funding source.
- This cluster includes a bettor who wins 91% of 851 resolved markets and is up $1.95M, plus another who wins 86% and is up $159k.
- Most buys hit between 50¢ and 69¢, with the market now around 56¢, so the best copy-trade zone is near the lower end of their entries.
$22,059 on Vitality
Sharp bettor joined cluster
Surface this alert because a high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term record bought Spirit at 52¢ before a coordinated 3-wallet move and the market has already repriced to 66¢.
- This bettor has 1,361 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up nearly $87k overall
- Three wallets all bought Spirit for a combined $8.5k, pointing to one-sided conviction on the same side
- The entry was 52¢ and the market is now 66¢, so the move already went strongly in their favor
$1,278 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 61%
3-wallet Spirit pile-in
Three wallets piled into Spirit ahead of a sharp move from 53¢ to 66¢, led by a highly active cross-market bettor with nearly $1.0M deployed historically.
- Three wallets all bought Spirit, totaling $8.5k, which is strong one-way flow on this map market.
- One flagged bettor has traded 116 resolved markets, wins 57% of the time, and is up about $41.7k overall.
- The lead buy came at 53¢ and the market is now 66¢, so the move already validates the entry.
$5,257 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 57%
4-wallet Spirit cluster
A 4-wallet cluster, including one elite high-profit bettor, piled into Spirit before a 17-point price jump, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching.
- Four wallets bought Spirit for $7.6k total, and two are linked to the same funder.
- One wallet wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They got in as low as 39¢ to 40¢ before Spirit moved to 60%, showing strong early conviction.
$7,550 on Spirit
Top Holders
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Vitality, $40,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Spirit, $20,731 (53% win rate)
- 0xbedb...3b26 — Vitality, $18,396 (51% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Spirit, $17,795 (91% win rate)
- 0x871f...5ac9 — Vitality, $14,215 (50% win rate)
- 0xb042...204c — Spirit, $13,123 (40% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — Spirit, $9,860 (57% win rate)
- 0x802b...7d57 — Spirit, $9,404 (75% win rate)
- 0x9bad...861f — Vitality, $7,375 (73% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Spirit, $7,159 (50% win rate)
