Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
14 signals across 3 markets · $246,208 tracked · resolves Aug 4, 2026
Track the Polymarket prediction market for the Dota 2 1win Essence Playoffs upper-bracket final between Team Falcons and Team Liquid. The event covers winner outcomes for the BO3 match, with PolySpotter reporting that 94% of recent smart-money activity is scaling into Falcons.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Large Falcons cluster with sharp bettors
A $102,000 Falcons-heavy cluster included several highly profitable bettors and a 565x volume surge, though opposing Liquid positions suggest some hedging.
$102,459Score: 12.3 - Sharp bettors coordinated on Falcons
A large coordinated Falcons position coincided with a 6745x volume spike and included several highly profitable, historically sharp bettors buying around 60%.
$56,717Score: 9.8 - 96% winner in 15-wallet cluster
A highly successful bettor joined a 15-wallet Team Liquid buying cluster during an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a compelling historical signal despite the market now pricing Liquid at 0%.
$2,329Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.5 - Sharp bettors stack Team Falcons
Three wallets concentrated $8,816 on Team Falcons, including two highly profitable bettors with 81%-87% win rates and substantial historical edges.
$8,816Score: 6.9 - Profitable sharp adds to Liquid
A proven 80% bettor with $141,821 in profits is adding to an existing Team Liquid position despite the market pricing Liquid at only 32%.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.6 - Sharp bettor doubles down on Liquid
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Team Liquid position despite the market moving against it.
$3,323Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.5 - Elite bettor scaling into Falcons
A proven high-volume bettor with a 98% win rate committed $29,000 to Team Falcons at 60–62%, ahead of a move to 71%.
$29,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.3 - 98% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial implied edge made a fresh $1,200 purchase in a very thin esports market.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.0 - 98% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial implied edge made a fresh $1,200 purchase in a very thin esports market.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.0 - 97% winner adds to Falcons
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Team Falcons position at 64%.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe16d3f…5e30$47,200 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 98% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$15,824 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$3,907 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x37e944…eede$3,323 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xbbd9de…de31$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x05a7aa…42e6$2,329 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x335d3d…8c00$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x24fe8a…4f8a$1,233 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Team Falcons vs Team Liquid prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds for the event reflect the market’s probability estimates for Team Falcons or Team Liquid to win. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in the Falcons vs Liquid market?
PolySpotter tracks $1,233 in smart money across this event and one signal. The latest alert says 94% of winner-focused smart money is scaling into Team Falcons.
What outcomes are traded in this Dota 2 event?
The event covers the winner of the Team Falcons vs Team Liquid BO3 upper-bracket final, with Team Falcons and Team Liquid as the two possible winning outcomes.
When does the Team Falcons vs Team Liquid market resolve?
The match was scheduled for August 4 at 11:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by August 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM UTC, subject to the market’s settlement rules.