Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $116,774.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors coordinated on Falcons

A large coordinated Falcons position coincided with a 6745x volume spike and included several highly profitable, historically sharp bettors buying around 60%.

  • 13 wallets committed $56,717 to Team Falcons, producing a 21.65-point price jump and a 6745x historical volume spike.
  • The cluster includes bettors with 96% and 90% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions, with substantial lifetime profits.
  • Most entries were between 60¢ and 62¢, implying strong conviction well before Falcons reached the current 95% price.

$56,717 on Team Falcons

Elite bettor scaling into Falcons

A proven high-volume bettor with a 98% win rate committed $29,000 to Team Falcons at 60–62%, ahead of a move to 71%.

  • This bettor has won 572 of 581 resolved positions, with $9.1 million in lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average entry odds.
  • The wallet concentrated $29,000 across six Team Falcons buys at 60–62%, while the market subsequently rose to 71%.
  • The trades drove an 8,376x surge over historical volume in a relatively quiet market, reinforcing the strength of the move.

$29,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Elite bettor makes concentrated Falcons bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate placed a concentrated $15.8K bet on Team Falcons in a thin market amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades—666 wins out of 691—and has earned nearly $6.0M.
  • The $15.8K Falcons bet is over six times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction.
  • The trade entered at 64¢ while Falcons currently sit near 63%, leaving a potential edge if the bettor’s read is correct.

$15,824 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge made a concentrated $14,000 purchase of Team Falcons in an unusually quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 571 of 580 resolved positions, earning over $9.1 million with an average winning entry price of 59%.
  • The wallet invested $14,000 on Team Falcons at 63%, more than five times the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
  • The trade created a sharp volume spike in a relatively thin market, signaling strong directional conviction.

$14,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

94% winner scaling into Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a concentrated Falcons position in a very thin market.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved trades, entering at an average price of 52%.
  • They added $1,233 to Team Falcons at 61¢, bringing their position to roughly $3,254.
  • The trade was nearly three times the market’s entire 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.

$1,233 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 38178185, $36,180 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xc75a...1ab2 Outcome 38178185, $15,000 (43% win rate)
  3. 0x73bc...46ce Outcome 38178185, $11,800 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 38178185, $9,623 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 38178185, $9,516 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xa526...c9f9 Outcome 38178185, $8,219 (62% win rate)
  7. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 38178185, $7,263 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x5038...6236 Outcome 38178185, $4,950 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x6729...f17d Outcome 38178185, $4,050 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x177e...c244 Outcome 38178185, $4,000 (43% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$116,774 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
80¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$56,717 on Team Falcons at 60¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$29,000 on Team Falcons at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$15,824 on Team Falcons at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$14,000 on Team Falcons at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$1,233 on Team Falcons at 61¢

Related Theses