Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
53 signals across 3 markets · $4,728,997 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC is an FA Cup prediction market event focused on whether Manchester City will win on May 16, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial trader with $1,960 tracked across the event.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner in Yes cluster
Surface: multiple profitable/sharp wallets bought Yes into a large coordinated move that pushed Manchester City from the mid-30s to the high-70s.
$24,793Score: 26.7 - Sharp funded cluster buying No
A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor is buying No with linked-wallet and one-sided cluster support despite a very liquid market.
$22,297Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 17.7 - Profitable new live-sports whale
A highly profitable 18-day-old wallet made a $380k last-minute live-sports bet on No, alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets totaling $451k.
$380,449Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 16.1 - Profitable cluster buying Yes
Coordinated Yes-side flow is worth surfacing because five wallets are effectively buying Yes, including a very profitable high-volume trader and a serial cross-market bettor.
$13,513Score: 15.9 - Profitable cluster buying No
High-conviction one-sided flow into No, led by profitable wallets including a 92% winner and a $2.4M lifetime-profit whale, despite the price having since moved against their entries.
$44,787Score: 14.5 - 9-wallet No fade
High-score alert driven by 9 wallets taking the No side, though this specific wallet appears to be closing a prior Yes position rather than opening a fresh No bet.
$1,556Wallet win rate: 33%Score: 14.2 - 89% winner joins Yes cluster
Sharp 89% lifetime winner is buying Yes alongside a 9-wallet one-sided push and a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 13.5 - 93% winner joins Yes flow
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor bought Manchester City Yes alongside strong one-sided flow from 7 wallets and a pre-event volume spike.
$11,270Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 13.3 - Profitable new whale buying NO
Huge No buy from an 18-day-old wallet already up $4.75M, reinforced by one-sided cluster flow and a 456x volume spike.
$406,866Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 12.2 - Profitable last-minute whale
A highly profitable new wallet put $443k on No minutes before a live soccer market resolved, alongside a massive volume spike.
$443,116Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 11.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa1360d…97de$4,287,414 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x966cd8…9b1a$60,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x313706…723f$29,458 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x912a05…2e6a$27,932 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x949542…9a27$25,748 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x5966db…f804$22,297 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x1b6266…db9c$20,210 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xd68430…f320$18,460 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$18,283 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$14,851 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
FAQs
What are the Chelsea vs Man City odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks the Polymarket odds for the FA Cup matchup between Chelsea FC and Manchester City FC, specifically the market on whether Manchester City will win on May 16, 2026. The implied probability can move as traders react to team news, lineups, injuries, and betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Chelsea vs Manchester City?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,960 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial trader. That kind of activity can highlight where experienced prediction-market participants are taking a position.
Is this a Chelsea vs Man City prediction market?
Yes. This event hub covers the Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC FA Cup prediction market on Polymarket, including the traded outcome for Manchester City to win.
When does the Chelsea vs Man City market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around May 16, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, based on the result criteria for the FA Cup game between Chelsea FC and Manchester City FC.
Why use PolySpotter for Chelsea vs Man City odds?
PolySpotter adds context to Polymarket odds by tracking smart money signals, profitable trader activity, and notable market moves, helping users see not just the price but who may be influencing it.