Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC
29 signals across 3 markets · $3,008,437 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC in the Premier League on May 3, 2026. Markets cover all main match outcomes: Liverpool win, Manchester United win, or draw, with over $3.0M in smart money tracked across 29 signals. Recent alerts highlight sharp clusters buying Yes, a perfect-record cluster fading the favorite, and football-specific smart money activity.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Yes
High-conviction Yes flow from 9 wallets includes several profitable serial sports traders and a 92% winner buying early before a major move to 78%.
$55,033Score: 28.0 - Perfect-record cluster fading favorite
Strong linked-wallet cluster is fading Manchester United, including a perfect-record high-profit bettor and serial cross-market wallets, though some selling may be position-closing rather than a fresh short.
$21,768Score: 21.9 - 5-wallet sharp cluster
Five wallets bought $116K of Liverpool Yes, including a highly profitable 85% winner and other repeat sports traders, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.
$116,214Score: 11.8 - Sharp bettor joins NO cluster
Three wallets put $22.2k on Liverpool not winning, including a proven bettor with 81% wins across 678 resolved bets, though the market is highly liquid.
$22,226Score: 10.9 - Perfect-record football bettor
High-conviction sports trade from a wallet with a perfect 46/46 resolved record and strong cross-market history, with the position already moving from 78¢ to 86¢.
$1,193Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 10.9 - 7-wallet sharp No cluster
Strong one-sided No flow on a major soccer market, led by profitable wallets including a 45-0 bettor and a multimillion-dollar winner.
$40,583Score: 9.7 - Repeat new whale in No cluster
Large repeat new wallet is buying No alongside a 6-wallet one-sided flow on a high-volume Manchester United match market.
$94,807Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.6 - $111K four-wallet NO cluster
Surface: four wallets bought $111k of No amid an 11.4x pre-event volume spike, with one participant showing a strong $2.0M lifetime profit record.
$111,649Score: 9.6 - Profitable serial last-minute bettor
Serial near-resolution sports bettor bought No at 66¢ 1.7 minutes before resolution and the market quickly moved to 94¢, continuing a profitable last-minute betting pattern.
$1,590Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 9.4 - 82% winner buying NO
Proven 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader is buying Manchester United No ahead of kickoff amid a major volume spike.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 8.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x91eee6…c5b8$2,593,823 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$9,193 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$8,044 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x1ef5bc…dc05$6,735 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xff6ece…18ec$4,887 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x7ea571…de7b$2,834 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 62% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$2,190 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x709e8d…66f5$1,590 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0x492067…2ef4$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Man United vs Liverpool prediction market odds?
This event hub tracks the live Polymarket odds for all three outcomes: Liverpool to win, Manchester United to win, or the match to end in a draw. Check the market prices to see how traders are currently pricing the game.
What is the smart money doing on Man United vs Liverpool?
PolySpotter has tracked more than $3.0M in smart money across 29 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp cluster buying Yes, a 5-wallet sharp cluster, and a perfect-record cluster fading the favorite.
Are sharp bettors backing Liverpool, Manchester United, or the draw?
The event includes smart money activity across the related outcome markets, so sharp positioning may appear on a team win, the draw, or against a favorite. PolySpotter alerts help show whether notable wallets are buying Yes or taking the other side.
When does the Man United vs Liverpool market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around the Premier League match on Sunday, May 3, 2026, with the listed resolution time at 14:30 UTC. Final settlement depends on the official match result and Polymarket’s market rules.