Part of: Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $576,192.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Profitable serial last-minute bettor

Serial near-resolution sports bettor bought No at 66¢ 1.7 minutes before resolution and the market quickly moved to 94¢, continuing a profitable last-minute betting pattern.

This wallet repeatedly bets in the final minutes, with 19 near-resolution trades across 16 markets.
The bettor is up $441,960 lifetime and bought No just 1.7 minutes before the match market resolved.
Entry at 66¢ moved to 94¢, but the trade should not be chased far above the original price.

$1,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

79% win-rate sports bettor

A highly experienced 79% win-rate cross-market sports trader bought Liverpool No before a sharp move from 83¢ to 94¢.

This bettor has won 79% of 1,135 resolved bets and is up $48.7K lifetime.
They bought No at 83¢ before the market moved to 94¢, a strong same-direction price move.
This wallet has traded across 40 events and 50 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.

$1,386 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor joins NO cluster

Three wallets put $22.2k on Liverpool not winning, including a proven bettor with 81% wins across 678 resolved bets, though the market is highly liquid.

A bettor who wins 81% of resolved bets is backing Liverpool not to win.
Three wallets bought the same side for $22.2k total before the match.
Entry at 66¢ implies a steadier, lower-upside view than a long-shot bet.

$22,226 on No

7-wallet sharp No cluster

Strong one-sided No flow on a major soccer market, led by profitable wallets including a 45-0 bettor and a multimillion-dollar winner.

Seven wallets put $40.6k on Liverpool not winning, all in the same direction.
The flow includes a bettor with 45 straight resolved wins and $162k profit.
Another participating wallet is up $2.6M lifetime across more than 11k resolved bets.

$40,583 on No

Repeat new whale backing Yes

A 26-day-old repeat large bettor deployed nearly $392k around match time amid a 78x volume spike, mostly buying Liverpool Yes at 36¢ despite no resolved track record yet.

A 26-day-old wallet is making a very large $392k move, after 40 prior large-bet alerts totaling $562k.
The market is seeing a 78x pre-match volume spike, suggesting this is part of a broader rush of money before kickoff.
Entry at 36¢ implies a roughly 2.8x payout if Liverpool win in regulation.

$391,637 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

5-wallet sharp cluster

Five wallets bought $116K of Liverpool Yes, including a highly profitable 85% winner and other repeat sports traders, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.

Five wallets bought $116K of Liverpool Yes in the same window.
One wallet in the cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $675K lifetime.
Entry around 35¢ implies roughly a 2.9x payout if Liverpool wins.

$116,214 on Yes

85% winner backs Yes

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Liverpool Yes, though the individual bet is modest in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $675K lifetime.
They have traded across 161 events with the same strong 85% hit rate.
Entry at 34¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Liverpool wins.

$1,054 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $2.6M lifetime profit is buying Liverpool No, though the individual bet is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 67% of 11,346 resolved bets and is up $2.57M lifetime.
They have traded across 286 events and $1.67M in similar cross-market activity.
Buying No at 67¢ means they are backing Liverpool not to win in regulation.

$1,501 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0x91ee...c5b8 — Outcome 90785645, $2,370,153 (94% win rate)
0xb904...c255 — Outcome 90785645, $120,052 (49% win rate)
0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 90785645, $105,844 (58% win rate)
0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 90785645, $8,888 (94% win rate)
0xc733...3805 — Outcome 90785645, $4,103
0x54ff...013a — Outcome 90785645, $3,907 (87% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 85989246, $3,779
0xe757...c161 — Outcome 90785645, $3,482 (46% win rate)
0xd178...6703 — Outcome 90785645, $3,170 (86% win rate)
0x46bc...2d14 — Outcome 90785645, $3,000 (31% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Aston Villa beats Liverpool

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

ResolvedManchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC$576,192 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.