Mexico vs. Peru
9 signals across 2 markets · $34,989 tracked · resolves Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket tracks whether Mexico will beat Peru in their September 29, 2026 FIFA International Friendly; a “No” outcome covers a draw or Peru win. PolySpotter has tracked $8,375 in smart money across the event and flagged buying by three wallets in the Mexico Yes market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet No cluster with proven bettor
A proven bettor with a 92% win rate is buying No alongside five other wallets amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp move toward No.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.3 - Six-wallet No cluster with volume surge
Six wallets put $9,604 on No amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp move toward No, creating a strong coordinated directional signal.
$1,863Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 8.2 - Six-wallet coordinated No buying
Six wallets bought No for $9,604 amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp decline in Yes prices, though the featured wallet was closing a prior Yes position.
$1,087Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 7.6 - Six-wallet cluster backing No
A six-wallet No cluster, an 11.8× volume spike, and a sharp Yes price drop corroborate this bearish position despite the trader's modest track record.
$1,101Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 7.3 - Three-wallet No cluster with a proven sharp
Three wallets placed $4,444 on No, including a bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial profits, while No has risen to 70%.
$5,407Score: 6.9 - Three-wallet Mexico Yes buying
Three wallets bought $8,375 of Mexico Yes in a concentrated burst, though the traders’ records are mixed and two were already holding Yes.
$6,583Score: 6.9 - Proven 79% winner adding to Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a strong historical edge added nearly $16,000 to an existing Yes position amid a major volume spike and upward price movement.
$15,889Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.6 - Serial trader amid sharp market move
A major volume spike and 17.5% price move coincide with a large bettor’s multi-market position, though its win rate does not clearly beat its average entry odds.
$1,008Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor with 79% wins
A proven bettor with 79% wins across 1,149 resolved bets and $428,845 profit bought Yes at 51¢, supported by a serial cross-market track record.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x125084…8f99$16,889 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$2,871 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 70% wins
- 0x122b75…ac59$1,101 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x3f0fa8…0e48$1,087 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x27e43a…4803$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Mexico vs. Peru?
Check the live Mexico-to-win market on this page for the latest implied odds. The market prices whether Mexico wins, rather than offering separate markets for a draw or Peru victory.
What is the smart money doing on Mexico vs. Peru?
PolySpotter flagged Mexico Yes buying by three wallets. The event has $8,375 in tracked smart money and one reported signal; this activity is not a guarantee of the match result.
What outcomes does the Mexico vs. Peru prediction market cover?
The listed market asks whether Mexico will win on September 29, 2026. A No outcome means Mexico does not win, including a draw or a Peru victory.
When does the Mexico vs. Peru market resolve?
The friendly is scheduled for September 29, 2026, and the event is listed to resolve by September 30, 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Check the market rules for the precise resolution criteria.