Part of: Mexico vs. Peru

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 29, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,092.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No cluster with a proven sharp

Three wallets placed $4,444 on No, including a bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial profits, while No has risen to 70%.

  • Three wallets bought No for a combined $4,444, and the market has moved to 70% No.
  • One bettor has won 92% of 164 resolved bets and is up $101,391, with an average win price of 65%.
  • A second wallet has made over $7.8 million across more than 100,000 resolved bets.

$5,407 on No

Six-wallet No cluster with proven bettor

A proven bettor with a 92% win rate is buying No alongside five other wallets amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp move toward No.

  • This bettor has won 151 of 164 resolved bets and is up $101,391 lifetime.
  • Six wallets have put $9,604 on No, alongside an 11.8x volume spike and a 35-point move toward No.
  • The featured trade bought No at 70¢, suggesting confidence Mexico will not win in regulation.

$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Six-wallet No cluster with volume surge

Six wallets put $9,604 on No amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp move toward No, creating a strong coordinated directional signal.

  • Six wallets bet a combined $9,604 on No, showing coordinated conviction.
  • Trading volume spiked 11.8x above its historical average as No rose about 35%.
  • The alerted bettor entered No at 66¢; their extensive history is notable, though their 71% win rate does not clearly beat their average winning price.

$1,863 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Six-wallet coordinated No buying

Six wallets bought No for $9,604 amid an 11.8x volume spike and a sharp decline in Yes prices, though the featured wallet was closing a prior Yes position.

  • Six wallets put $9,604 behind No, a strong shared directional signal.
  • Trading volume surged to 11.8 times its historical average as Yes fell about 38%.
  • The featured wallet sold an existing Yes position; its 56% win rate alone is not a strong edge signal.

$1,087 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Six-wallet cluster backing No

A six-wallet No cluster, an 11.8× volume spike, and a sharp Yes price drop corroborate this bearish position despite the trader's modest track record.

  • Six wallets are betting No, with $9,604 combined on the same outcome.
  • Trading volume spiked 11.8× above its historical average as Yes fell 38.2%.
  • The trade converts to buying No at 64¢; the wallet's long history is profitable overall but not exceptionally sharp.

$1,101 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Three-wallet Mexico Yes buying

Three wallets bought $8,375 of Mexico Yes in a concentrated burst, though the traders’ records are mixed and two were already holding Yes.

  • Three wallets bought Yes within minutes, totaling $8,375 at 66¢.
  • Two wallets were adding to existing Yes positions; the third had also built a sizable Yes holding.
  • The group’s records are mixed, so this is a directional flow signal rather than proven sharp-bettor activity.

$6,583 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x3134...145f — Yes, $8,004 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x5c3a...020b — Yes, $6,959 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xbe7e...6d00 — Yes, $5,115 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x1660...5598 — Yes, $5,000 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x99aa...6c5a — Yes, $5,000 (90% win rate)
  6. 0xf436...4591 — Yes, $4,715 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x0079...31c7 — Yes, $4,451 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,747
  9. 0x775d...6beb — Yes, $2,589 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x5016...1eeb — Yes, $2,354 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

Mexico vs. Peru$17,092 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 29, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Notable Trades

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 01:52 UTC

$5,407 on No at 67¢

67¢→100¢↑33¢

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 01:43 UTC

$1,050 on No at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 01:43 UTC

$1,863 on No at 66¢

66¢→100¢↑34¢

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 01:43 UTC

$1,087 on No at 38¢

38¢→100¢↑62¢

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 01:43 UTC

$1,101 on No at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?

2026-09-30 02:37 UTC

$6,583 on Yes at 66¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
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Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
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Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
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Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
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Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
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Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
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Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?