Poland vs. Ukraine
17 signals across 2 markets · $77,187 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
Poland vs. Ukraine is a FIFA international friendly scheduled for May 31, 2026, with prediction-market trading focused on whether Poland will win. PolySpotter tracks the event’s Polymarket odds and smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial sports bettor with $1,748 monitored across the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettor leads Yes cluster
Surface because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and +$1.3M lifetime P&L is leading a $15k effective Yes cluster despite some mixed market flow.
$15,028Score: 18.1 - Profitable sports cluster on NO
Three high-volume, profitable sports wallets clustered on Poland No, including a 77% winner up $1.3M, and the trade coincided with a 26-point move toward No.
$5,552Score: 12.7 - 77% winner joins No flow
Sharp 77% lifetime winner is cutting Yes exposure as six wallets push the same No side amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,604Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 12.6 - Profitable sharp buying No
Sharp profitable sports trader sold Poland Yes, equivalent to buying No, alongside one-sided No flow from 5 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,628Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 12.3 - Profitable serial trader with one-sided flow
High composite alert driven by a profitable high-volume serial trader joining six-wallet one-sided flow on No amid a major volume spike and 31-point price move.
$1,049Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 11.6 - Profitable bettor leads cluster
Surface: a highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and +$1.3M lifetime P&L led a $12.8k same-direction Poland Yes cluster amid a major volume spike.
$12,760Score: 11.4 - Five-wallet No surge
Surfacing due to coordinated one-sided No buying from 5 wallets plus a 33.5x volume spike and rapid move from 47¢ to 80¢, despite this wallet’s weak long-term P&L.
$2,634Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 10.6 - 96% serial sports sharp
A proven 96% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought No alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,266Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.3 - One-sided sharp No flow
Four wallets are all buying Poland No during a major pre-event volume spike, including large serial sports traders with strong long-run records.
$6,530Score: 10.1 - 84% winner riding surge
A proven 84% winning sports bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Ukraine Yes into a major pre-event volume and price surge.
$3,300Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x44c581…8d45$11,640 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x0346af…52a5$10,797 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0x3e7393…c4ec$4,016 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x34b881…81af$3,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$2,192 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x00a171…8366$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x2117ae…5c26$1,748 · 1 market · 1 alert · 43% wins
- 0xb44e88…c2c6$1,624 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Poland vs Ukraine prediction market odds?
The event tracks Polymarket pricing for Poland vs. Ukraine, currently centered on whether Poland will win the May 31, 2026 friendly. Prices can move as lineups, injuries, team news, and betting activity change.
What is the smart money doing on Poland vs Ukraine?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,748 in smart money activity for this event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor. That can help show whether experienced bettors are leaning toward Poland winning.
Is there a Polymarket market for Poland to win?
Yes. The child market for this event asks whether Poland will win on May 31, 2026, covering the main Poland-win outcome for the friendly against Ukraine.
When does the Poland vs Ukraine market resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve after the match on May 31, 2026, with the listed resolution time at 15:30 UTC, subject to Polymarket’s market rules and official match results.