Part of: Poland vs. Ukraine

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,097.

Categories: Soccer, Fifa Friendly, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Momentum spike buyer

A repeat large-bet wallet bought $8.2k of Ukraine Yes at 83¢ during a huge volume spike, with the market quickly repricing to 92¢, though the wallet’s long-term record is weak.

  • A bettor put $8.2k on Yes at 83¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
  • Volume exploded to 388x its normal pace, with over $104k traded in the last 24 hours.
  • The wallet is not proven sharp, but the price move strongly confirms the direction of the trade.

$8,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

84% winner riding surge

A proven 84% winning sports bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Ukraine Yes into a major pre-event volume and price surge.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $38,791 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 63 events, with $166k traded and the same 84% hit rate.
  • Ukraine Yes has jumped 54 points in a day on a 132x volume spike, and this wallet still bought at 81¢.

$3,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable new wallet chasing momentum

A newly created but already profitable wallet is repeatedly making sizable bets and bought Yes after a major upward price breakout.

  • This week-old wallet has already been flagged 11 times, with $37K in notable bets and about $5K profit so far.
  • The bettor bought Yes at 83¢ after the market jumped more than 50 percentage points in a day.
  • Their early record is strong: 6 wins and 2 losses on resolved bets.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Five-wallet No surge

Surfacing due to coordinated one-sided No buying from 5 wallets plus a 33.5x volume spike and rapid move from 47¢ to 80¢, despite this wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

  • Five wallets are all buying No, totaling $9.4K in the same direction.
  • Market activity jumped 33.5x above normal, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction before the match.
  • This wallet bought No at 47¢ and then added again at 80¢ after the move.

$2,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc25...1f7f Yes, $21,720 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x44c5...8d45 No, $17,150 (77% win rate)
  3. 0x2005...75ea No, $6,160 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e No, $5,992 (54% win rate)
  5. 0x7381...d95d Yes, $4,235
  6. 0xfbf3...b218 Yes, $4,092 (44% win rate)
  7. 0x34b8...81af Yes, $4,067 (84% win rate)
  8. 0x07a6...2e31 Yes, $2,300 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xc0d9...da5e Yes, $1,906 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x6945...729c No, $1,871

Related Theses

Qingdao Xihaian wins match

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Braves beat the Reds

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Cerezo Osaka will win

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Gamba Osaka will win

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Nashville SC wins May 23

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Yankees beat the Athletics

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Dodgers beat the Phillies

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Mets beat the Marlins

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Grêmio-Torque ends in draw

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Kashiwa Reysol will win

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Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

ResolvedPoland vs. Ukraine$16,097 tracked4 signalsSoccerFifa FriendlySportsGames
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 31, 2026 If Ukraine wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$8,163 on Yes at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$3,300 on Yes at 81¢

81¢100¢19¢

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

2h ago

$2,000 on Yes at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?

3h ago

$2,634 on No at 80¢

80¢0¢80¢

Related Theses