Paraguay vs. Australia
64 signals across 3 markets · $3,753,657 tracked · resolves Jun 26, 2026
Paraguay vs. Australia is a 2026 FIFA World Cup matchup scheduled for June 25, 2026, with Polymarket traders currently focused on whether the game will end in a draw. PolySpotter is tracking $1,197 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal from a 90% win-rate sports sharp.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked cluster buying underdog Yes
High-score Paraguay Yes cluster with linked wallets and several profitable serial sports traders, though a larger opposing No cluster makes the signal contested.
$37,378Score: 28.6 - 7-wallet No surge
Surface: a large 7-wallet coordinated No push totaling nearly $90k, with linked-wallet support and a volume spike, moved the market toward No despite some opposing Yes flow.
$89,913Score: 23.9 - 94% winner backs No
Elite profitable sports wallet with 94% wins and $2.85M lifetime P&L placed a large $152K bet on Australia not winning, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
$297,560Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 18.2 - 97% winner backs No
Elite 97% win-rate wallet put $80.6k on Paraguay No amid one-sided flow from 9 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
$80,600Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 17.6 - 93% winner joins No wave
A highly profitable 93% win-rate sports bettor bought $20.5k of No alongside heavy one-sided No flow and a major pre-game volume spike.
$20,476Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 16.6 - $102K six-wallet No cluster
A high-conviction six-wallet cluster bought $102K of No near market close, supported by an 83x volume spike and serial cross-market bettors including a profitable 74% winner.
$58,694Score: 15.9 - Sharp bettor joins $894K Yes wave
Sharp 81% lifetime winner bought Yes alongside a massive 8-wallet one-sided push and a 266x pre-event volume spike.
$1,380Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 15.0 - 81% winner joins Yes wave
Sharp 81% lifetime winner bought Yes alongside heavy one-sided market flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 14.0 - 88% sharp sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate bought the draw amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,311Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 13.8 - 94% winner sizing up
Surfaced because a highly profitable 94% winning wallet put over $200k into this match market, with most size on No despite some later Yes hedging.
$202,160Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 13.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd1c537…cbd0$1,966,332 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x72254f…659a$751,127 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xe54958…2d54$327,446 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 98% wins
- 0xc41d73…74fd$80,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x26ea96…2f4b$72,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$49,209 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xf4e144…34a5$48,275 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x0346af…52a5$12,208 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x84cfff…2f63$9,226 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 46% wins
- 0x7ea571…de7b$8,785 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the Paraguay vs Australia prediction market odds?
This event hub tracks the Polymarket odds for Paraguay vs. Australia, currently centered on the draw outcome. Odds can move as traders react to team news, lineups, injuries, and broader World Cup betting activity.
Is there smart money betting on Paraguay vs Australia?
Yes. PolySpotter has tracked $1,197 in smart money activity on this event, including one recent signal from a 90% win-rate sports sharp.
What outcome is being traded for Paraguay vs Australia?
The listed child market asks whether Paraguay vs. Australia will end in a draw. Traders are effectively pricing the probability that the World Cup match finishes level after regular time.
When does the Paraguay vs Australia market resolve?
The event is scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026, and is expected to resolve by June 26, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, after the official match result is known.