This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.08M lifetime. They have a long cross-market record: 1,070 markets across 421 events with the same 94% win rate. They bought No at 80¢ while market volume is spiking nearly 20x above normal.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime. They put $429K on No at 78¢, a large concentrated position before the match. This wallet has traded 26 related events with a 94% win rate, and market volume is spiking 148x above normal.

Part of: Paraguay vs. Australia

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,826,717.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying underdog

A proven profitable wallet with a 79% record and strong edge is buying Australia Yes despite the market moving lower.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $52K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average 34¢ odds, suggesting they have found real mispriced underdogs before.
They bought Australia Yes at 19¢, while the market is now around 14–15¢.

$1,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

94% winner buying No

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% long-run win rate is buying No on Australia, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.08M lifetime.
They have a long cross-market record: 1,070 markets across 421 events with the same 94% win rate.
They bought No at 80¢ while market volume is spiking nearly 20x above normal.

$1,081 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial event bettor

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought $4,000 of No at 81¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long track record: 2,524 resolved bets and $131k in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 121 events, with a 69% win rate on resolved bets.
Market volume is surging nearly 20x above normal, supporting that money is moving before the game.

$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

94% winner buys No

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $2.85M profit bought $429K of No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime.
They put $429K on No at 78¢, a large concentrated position before the match.
This wallet has traded 26 related events with a 94% win rate, and market volume is spiking 148x above normal.

$885,453 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% winner buys No

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $2.85M profit bought $429K of No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime.
They put $429K on No at 78¢, a large concentrated position before the match.
This wallet has traded 26 related events with a 94% win rate, and market volume is spiking 148x above normal.

$429,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% winner backs No

Elite profitable sports wallet with 94% wins and $2.85M lifetime P&L placed a large $152K bet on Australia not winning, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime.
They put $152K on No at 77¢ across five rapid buys.
This wallet is a serial sports trader across 25 events with a 94% hit rate.

$297,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% winner backs No

Elite profitable sports wallet with 94% wins and $2.85M lifetime P&L placed a large $152K bet on Australia not winning, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.85M lifetime.
They put $152K on No at 77¢ across five rapid buys.
This wallet is a serial sports trader across 25 events with a 94% hit rate.

$152,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive track record bought Australia No amid a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 62% of nearly 19,000 resolved bets and is up $3.5M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 754 markets with $3.5M+ deployed.
Market volume is spiking 13.9x above normal, adding momentum behind the No side.

$3,553 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

88% cross-market bettor

High-scoring sports alert from a serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong odds-adjusted edge buying Australia at 23¢.

This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved positions, usually at much tougher prices than this.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with an 88% hit rate.
Bought Australia at 23¢, implying they see meaningful upside versus the current market odds.

$3,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp sports winner buying Yes

Surface despite the weak detector because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.68M lifetime profit buying Australia Yes at 23¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.68M lifetime.
They are buying Australia at 23¢, implying a potential ~4.3x payout if correct.
The market is liquid, so the signal comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record rather than trade size.

$6,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 21990437, $858,860 (49% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 13781028, $175,073
0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 21990437, $100,086 (57% win rate)
0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 21990437, $75,000 (70% win rate)
0x82ba...afea — Outcome 21990437, $63,829 (85% win rate)
0xc1e8...9c7a — Outcome 21990437, $55,154 (60% win rate)
0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 21990437, $48,483 (48% win rate)
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 21990437, $39,468 (71% win rate)
0xdb85...152f — Outcome 21990437, $38,696 (78% win rate)
0xb0a2...353a — Outcome 21990437, $35,000 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

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Germany wins by six plus

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Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

ResolvedParaguay vs. Australia$1,826,717 tracked20 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If Australia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”