Türkiye vs. Paraguay
88 signals across 3 markets · $4,603,188 tracked · resolves Jun 20, 2026
Türkiye vs. Paraguay is a 2026 FIFA World Cup prediction-market event focused on whether Türkiye will win their June 19 matchup. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds alongside smart money activity, including a recent whale repeat-bettor signal tied to this event.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 16-wallet sharp No cluster
A large 16-wallet cluster bought No with $95k of one-sided flow, including proven high-win-rate wallets and serial cross-market traders, even though the market has since moved sharply against them.
$95,336Score: 56.0 - Linked Yes cluster with sharps
A large linked 21-wallet cluster is buying Paraguay Yes with support from profitable high-volume sports traders and strong recent market momentum.
$128,617Score: 38.7 - 17-wallet No cluster
Large coordinated No buying is worth surfacing because 17 wallets put $137k behind the same side, with rapid price movement and heavy event-wide activity despite some opposing flow.
$136,888Score: 37.7 - Contested 25-wallet Yes push
High-score but contested soccer flow: 25 wallets put about $90k on Yes with several proven bettors, though larger opposing No-buying flow is also present.
$89,754Score: 29.5 - 13-wallet No surge
Huge coordinated No flow on a live sports market, led by a $450k+ buyer at 55¢ and supported by serial cross-market traders as Türkiye’s win odds collapsed.
$131,914Score: 29.1 - 96% sports sharp on No
Elite 96% winning sports wallet bought No near resolution, backed by a large 12-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,059Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 20.1 - 53-0 sharp joins cluster
Elite 53-0 profitable wallet is buying Türkiye Yes alongside a 14-wallet one-sided cluster and rising price/volume, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
$1,980Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 19.7 - 90% sharp buying dip
Sharp 90% win-rate sports bettor with $1.3M profit is buying Türkiye Yes alongside a 20-wallet one-sided flow despite a major price drop.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 19.5 - Profitable serial trader joins cluster
Profitable high-volume bettor joined a large one-sided Paraguay Yes move with 21 wallets, linked funding, major volume spike, and a 20-point price impact.
$2,823Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 19.5 - 97% winner backs draw
Surface because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet is effectively backing the draw, although most of the Yes-side size comes from a less proven wallet and the market is liquid.
$14,089Score: 19.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbc11a6…eec6$3,307,802 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xcfb69f…06da$142,470 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x89dd49…f662$76,599 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xa2b5ba…4582$43,545 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x4d3079…a42d$26,802 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xe54958…2d54$24,277 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x7a8885…41cc$20,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$18,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xd88139…af24$18,710 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$15,853 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Türkiye vs Paraguay odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks the Polymarket price for whether Türkiye will win on June 19, 2026. The market price reflects the crowd-implied probability of a Türkiye win, while PolySpotter adds context from smart money activity.
What outcomes are being traded for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The current child market asks whether Türkiye will win the match. Traders can take positions based on Türkiye winning or not winning, which may include a draw or Paraguay result depending on the market rules.
Is smart money betting on Türkiye vs Paraguay?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,760 in smart money activity across this event from one signal. The latest alert flagged a new whale repeat bettor, suggesting notable activity from an account with prior large-market behavior.
When does the Türkiye vs Paraguay prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 20, 2026 at 03:00 UTC, after the June 19 World Cup match result is known and the market outcome can be determined.