Four wallets all backed No, putting $31k on the match not ending in a draw. The same event saw $168k of related cross-market betting, suggesting a broader match thesis. This came during a 12.6x volume spike, with entries around 67¢ versus 66¢ now.

Part of: Türkiye vs. Paraguay

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,160.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

97% winner backs draw

Surface because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet is effectively backing the draw, although most of the Yes-side size comes from a less proven wallet and the market is liquid.

A bettor who wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $1.05M is effectively backing Yes by selling No.
Three wallets pushed $19.4k toward the draw side, with entries around 31–33¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 227 events with a 97% historical hit rate.

$14,089 on Yes

Coordinated No flow

High-score coordinated soccer flow: 4 wallets bought No for $31k during a 12.6x volume spike, with related cross-market positioning totaling $168k.

Four wallets all backed No, putting $31k on the match not ending in a draw.
The same event saw $168k of related cross-market betting, suggesting a broader match thesis.
This came during a 12.6x volume spike, with entries around 67¢ versus 66¢ now.

$31,157 on No

Profitable wallets backing No

Coordinated No buying is worth surfacing because three profitable/high-volume wallets put nearly $19.4k on no draw amid a major pre-event volume spike, though opposing Yes flow makes it less clean.

Three wallets put $19.4k on no draw, led by a $13.8k buy at 69¢.
The largest bettors are profitable lifetime, including wallets up $123k and $344k.
Market volume is running 18x above normal, but there is also notable money on the other side.

$19,382 on No

97% winner joins Yes cluster

High-scoring cluster includes a 97% winning, $1M-profit wallet taking the draw side alongside coordinated same-direction flow.

A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.05M is backing Yes here.
Three wallets put $15.4K on the same side, including both Yes buys and No sells.
The cluster entered around 29¢ while the market is now near 20¢, offering a cheaper entry than the alerted trades.

$15,401 on Yes

90% winner backing No

A proven sharp bettor with a 90% record and $91k lifetime profit bought No on the draw at 72¢.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $91,340 lifetime.
They bought No at 72¢, betting Türkiye vs. Paraguay does not end in a draw.
Their record is strong across 240 resolved positions, making the wallet itself the main signal.

$1,131 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 84365988, $160,445
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 32119774, $35,769 (66% win rate)
0xaa07...2125 — Outcome 32119774, $32,086 (51% win rate)
0xa66d...6daa — Outcome 32119774, $20,784 (42% win rate)
0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 32119774, $20,000 (63% win rate)
0xdabd...b7d7 — Outcome 32119774, $13,380 (100% win rate)
0xaa3c...3111 — Outcome 32119774, $12,500 (54% win rate)
0xcb47...3502 — Outcome 32119774, $12,196 (81% win rate)
0x1610...ae49 — Outcome 32119774, $12,041 (63% win rate)
0xfed7...b06a — Outcome 32119774, $11,364 (52% win rate)

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Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

ResolvedTürkiye vs. Paraguay$81,160 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 19, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

73¢

71¢

69¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction