Türkiye vs. United States
136 signals across 3 markets · $3,191,820 tracked · resolves Jun 26, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup match between Türkiye and the United States, with traders pricing whether Türkiye will win on June 25, 2026. PolySpotter has flagged $1,560 in smart money activity so far, including a sharp sports bettor buying Yes on Türkiye.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 18-wallet sharp No sweep
A large 18-wallet cluster, including several profitable serial sports/event traders, aggressively bought No before the market moved to 100%.
$51,846Score: 55.0 - 20-wallet draw surge
Strong one-sided Yes flow from 20 wallets totaling $83k, with a major price breakout and several high-volume serial event traders involved despite some opposing No flow.
$83,403Score: 45.2 - 25-wallet linked Yes cluster
A large 25-wallet, partially linked cluster is taking the Yes side, backed by serial cross-market traders and one 89% sharp wallet, though price has moved sharply against early entries.
$185,401Score: 44.0 - Sharp cluster buying Yes
High-conviction Yes flow is worth surfacing because a 13-wallet cluster includes a proven 89% winner up $1.45M and moved the price sharply despite opposing flow.
$46,301Score: 43.0 - 46-wallet sharp No cluster
Massive linked-wallet No buying with several highly profitable serial sports traders drove a large move from roughly 50¢ to 78¢, though the entry is now stale.
$688,955Score: 41.8 - Sharp cluster buying No
A very large, coordinated No move on a highly liquid U.S. match market, backed by several high-volume and high-win-rate cross-market traders, has already pushed No from the low/mid-50s to 68%.
$326,919Score: 41.2 - Sharp cluster buying No
Strong No-side cluster with multiple proven profitable bettors, a major pre-event volume spike, and a sharp price move from roughly coin-flip to 82%.
$34,235Score: 34.5 - Sharp bettor in No cluster
High-conviction No flow is worth surfacing because a profitable 86% bettor joined a $99.8k one-sided cluster, though opposing Yes flow is larger and the market has moved against them.
$99,763Score: 33.0 - Linked cluster nailed Yes
A 10-wallet, partly linked cluster bought $53K of Türkiye Yes ahead of a huge move to 100%, alongside a 37x volume spike and notable price impact.
$53,310Score: 31.0 - 36-wallet Yes buying wave
High-conviction coordinated Yes buying with a 36-wallet one-sided wave, major volume spike, and a repeat new wallet adding over $10k.
$10,105Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 30.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0346af…52a5$267,220 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 55% wins
- 0xc1da97…fefa$191,989 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xa49bec…4c40$159,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$115,503 · 1 market · 12 alerts · 65% wins
- 0x4064f0…f741$100,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x67542c…e3bc$68,646 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x97cb27…e4d0$62,031 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x85bbb0…9ada$36,000 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x9770ca…0ff5$33,795 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x3eebc6…c387$31,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Türkiye vs United States prediction market odds?
The odds are set by traders in the event’s child market, currently focused on whether Türkiye will win the June 25, 2026 World Cup match against the United States. PolySpotter tracks how those odds move and highlights notable smart money activity.
Is smart money betting on Türkiye to beat the United States?
PolySpotter has detected one smart money signal totaling $1,560, with a sharp sports bettor buying Yes on Türkiye. That suggests at least one tracked bettor sees value in Türkiye winning this matchup.
What outcomes are being traded for Türkiye vs United States?
This event currently includes a market on whether Türkiye will win on June 25, 2026. The event hub tracks activity around that outcome as traders update their expectations before and during the match.
When does the Türkiye vs United States market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 26, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, after the World Cup match result is known and Polymarket can determine whether Türkiye won.