United States vs. Australia
75 signals across 3 markets · $1,468,597 tracked · resolves Jun 19, 2026
United States vs. Australia is a FIFA World Cup 2026 matchup scheduled for June 19, with Polymarket traders pricing the key outcome of whether the United States will win. PolySpotter is tracking $2,200 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal tied to a sharp 79% sports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 49-wallet sharp Yes cluster
Huge one-sided Yes flow from a 49-wallet cluster, reinforced by several high-performing serial traders and a sharp price move from 62¢ to 80¢.
$538,492Score: 46.7 - Sharp 7-wallet No cluster
A large seven-wallet cluster bought $134k of No at 40¢, backed by multiple highly profitable sports bettors with 87–94% historical win rates.
$64,687Score: 23.5 - 96% winner joins No cluster
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $2.0M profit bought No alongside a 12-wallet one-sided cluster, despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
$14,673Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 17.7 - New profitable wallet joins 37-wallet surge
High-conviction Yes buy from a profitable new wallet, backed by 37-wallet one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 20-point price move.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 17.4 - 8-wallet contrarian No cluster
High-scoring coordinated No flow from 8 wallets, including profitable serial sports traders, is notable despite the market moving sharply against their 15–17¢ entries.
$28,275Score: 17.0 - Linked cluster buying No
High-score coordinated No buying from 8 wallets, including 4 linked wallets sharing a funder, makes this worth surfacing despite the main wallet's weak historical record.
$32,367Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 16.5 - Sharp bettor in 37-wallet wave
Sharp 82% winner bought Yes at 63¢ alongside a large 37-wallet one-sided move and a major volume/price breakout.
$1,002Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 16.4 - Proven bettor joins 37-wallet surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow, major price impact, and a historically profitable serial cross-market bettor make this a high-conviction trade despite the price already moving sharply.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 16.4 - Linked wallets buying No
High composite alert driven by linked-wallet clustering, six-wallet one-sided No flow, and a major pre-event volume spike, though the individual wallet has a poor track record.
$12,867Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 15.5 - Sharp-led longshot cluster
High-scoring one-sided cluster buying Yes, led by a proven 78% winner with positive P&L and supported by a major pre-event volume spike despite the price moving against the entries.
$33,503Score: 15.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x81da60…a109$196,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xe8725f…819a$98,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xf751fb…fec8$47,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0x5257aa…3e2a$45,234 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 52% wins
- 0xe54958…2d54$37,512 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x6eb744…3cd4$25,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$20,431 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$14,778 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xc41d73…74fd$14,673 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x0a6356…fc03$14,246 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the United States vs. Australia prediction market odds?
The event page tracks live Polymarket odds for United States vs. Australia, including the market on whether the United States will win on June 19, 2026.
What is the smart money doing on United States vs. Australia?
PolySpotter currently tracks $2,200 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent alert highlighting action from a sharp sports bettor with a 79% profile.
Can I track United States vs. Australia on Polymarket?
Yes. This event hub follows the Polymarket market tied to the FIFA World Cup match between the United States and Australia, showing how traders are pricing the result.
When does the United States vs. Australia market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around June 19, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, based on the outcome rules for the World Cup match market.