Part of: United States vs. Australia

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,608.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Coordinated draw buyers

Three wallets, including a newly created repeat bettor and a highly profitable high-volume wallet, bought the draw together despite the market moving against them.

  • Three wallets bought the same 14–15¢ draw outcome for $10.4K in a tight window.
  • One wallet is a high-volume bettor up $617K lifetime across over 1,200 resolved markets.
  • A 7-hour-old wallet has already been flagged repeatedly, with $12.6K in notable bets.

$10,358 on Yes

Sharp bettor in draw cluster

A proven profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is part of a $46k three-wallet move buying the draw at 22–23¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • One bettor in this move wins 84% of their trades and is up $136k lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $46k on the same side, all effectively buying the draw at 22–23¢.
  • Market volume is running 25x above normal, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.

$46,312 on Yes

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with a perfect 21/21 resolved record placed a $37.5k BUY on Yes at 22¢.

  • This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved positions, with wins coming at much harder average odds than simple favorites.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events and $664k in tracked activity.
  • A $37.5k entry at 22¢ implies they see the draw as meaningfully underpriced.

$37,512 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettor buying draw

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record and strong lifetime profit bought the draw at 22¢ despite this being a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved positions and is up $136.6K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at 48¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced bets.
  • Bought the draw at 22¢, implying a potential ~4.5x payout if it hits.

$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

92% winner buying draw

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and +$162,794 P&L bought the draw at 22¢ despite only a modest single-signal alert.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 25 resolved bets and is up $162,794 lifetime.
  • They bought the draw at 22¢, implying a potential ~4.5x payout if it hits.
  • The market is very liquid, so the edge comes from the bettor’s track record rather than market impact.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Elite 88% sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 938 events with an 88% win rate.
  • Market volume spiked 910x versus its historical average before this match.

$2,238 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite 88% winner backs No

Elite profitable wallet with an 88% long-term win rate is adding $7.8k on No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They bought $7.8k of No at 78¢, showing a clear view that the match avoids a draw.
  • This market’s activity is surging, with volume nearly 598x above its historical average.

$7,816 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No while the market is seeing a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 18,529 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $3.7M in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 477 events and $3.3M of flagged positioning.
  • Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume over 900x the historical average.

$2,474 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Elite 88% sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 938 events with an 88% win rate.
  • Market volume spiked 910x versus its historical average before this match.

$5,578 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No while the market is seeing a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 18,529 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $3.7M in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 477 events and $3.3M of flagged positioning.
  • Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume over 900x the historical average.

$5,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 38521868, $2,166,249
  2. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 14729379, $1,289,486 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 14729379, $228,497 (99% win rate)
  4. 0xc8ec...e8f1 Outcome 14729379, $126,730 (33% win rate)
  5. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 14729379, $38,512 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x44a1...bd21 Outcome 14729379, $29,155 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x8ed8...7c2f Outcome 14729379, $17,612 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x1fd8...7749 Outcome 14729379, $13,014 (99% win rate)
  9. 0x7900...9468 Outcome 14729379, $11,370
  10. 0x15a2...3e89 Outcome 14729379, $10,111

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close

Covers 3 related markets

Spain Argentina or England wins

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Australia$120,608 tracked10 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupGamesSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 19, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$10,358 on Yes at 14¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$46,312 on Yes at 22¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$37,512 on Yes at 22¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 22¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 22¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$2,238 on No at 78¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$7,816 on No at 78¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$2,474 on No at 78¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$5,578 on No at 78¢

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

50d ago

$5,220 on No at 78¢

Related Theses