Part of: United States vs. Australia
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,608.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Coordinated draw buyers
Three wallets, including a newly created repeat bettor and a highly profitable high-volume wallet, bought the draw together despite the market moving against them.
- Three wallets bought the same 14–15¢ draw outcome for $10.4K in a tight window.
- One wallet is a high-volume bettor up $617K lifetime across over 1,200 resolved markets.
- A 7-hour-old wallet has already been flagged repeatedly, with $12.6K in notable bets.
$10,358 on Yes
Sharp bettor in draw cluster
A proven profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is part of a $46k three-wallet move buying the draw at 22–23¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor in this move wins 84% of their trades and is up $136k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $46k on the same side, all effectively buying the draw at 22–23¢.
- Market volume is running 25x above normal, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.
$46,312 on Yes
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp sports/cross-market wallet with a perfect 21/21 resolved record placed a $37.5k BUY on Yes at 22¢.
- This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved positions, with wins coming at much harder average odds than simple favorites.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events and $664k in tracked activity.
- A $37.5k entry at 22¢ implies they see the draw as meaningfully underpriced.
$37,512 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor buying draw
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record and strong lifetime profit bought the draw at 22¢ despite this being a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved positions and is up $136.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at 48¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced bets.
- Bought the draw at 22¢, implying a potential ~4.5x payout if it hits.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% winner buying draw
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and +$162,794 P&L bought the draw at 22¢ despite only a modest single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 23 of 25 resolved bets and is up $162,794 lifetime.
- They bought the draw at 22¢, implying a potential ~4.5x payout if it hits.
- The market is very liquid, so the edge comes from the bettor’s track record rather than market impact.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite 88% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 938 events with an 88% win rate.
- Market volume spiked 910x versus its historical average before this match.
$2,238 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Elite 88% winner backs No
Elite profitable wallet with an 88% long-term win rate is adding $7.8k on No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They bought $7.8k of No at 78¢, showing a clear view that the match avoids a draw.
- This market’s activity is surging, with volume nearly 598x above its historical average.
$7,816 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No while the market is seeing a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 18,529 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $3.7M in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 477 events and $3.3M of flagged positioning.
- Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume over 900x the historical average.
$2,474 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Elite 88% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought No at 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 938 events with an 88% win rate.
- Market volume spiked 910x versus its historical average before this match.
$5,578 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No while the market is seeing a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 18,529 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $3.7M in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 477 events and $3.3M of flagged positioning.
- Market activity is surging before kickoff, with volume over 900x the historical average.
$5,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 38521868, $2,166,249
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 14729379, $1,289,486 (89% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 14729379, $228,497 (99% win rate)
- 0xc8ec...e8f1 — Outcome 14729379, $126,730 (33% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 14729379, $38,512 (79% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 14729379, $29,155 (60% win rate)
- 0x8ed8...7c2f — Outcome 14729379, $17,612 (56% win rate)
- 0x1fd8...7749 — Outcome 14729379, $13,014 (99% win rate)
- 0x7900...9468 — Outcome 14729379, $11,370
- 0x15a2...3e89 — Outcome 14729379, $10,111
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