United States vs. Paraguay
107 signals across 3 markets · $6,631,099 tracked · resolves Jun 13, 2026
United States vs. Paraguay is a FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction-market event for the June 12 match. The hub tracks the market on whether the United States will win, along with smart money activity, including $7,770 tracked and a recent big buy from a 5-0 bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% sharp leads No cluster
A very profitable 93% winner put $121k on No while 17 wallets collectively took the same side for $141k, making this a strong coordinated sharp-flow alert despite the market's high liquidity.
$69,331Score: 45.1 - 93% winner leads No cluster
A 93% win-rate wallet with $3.5M lifetime profit is leading a large 18-wallet No cluster despite a highly liquid market.
$241,675Score: 35.9 - 19-wallet sharp Yes cluster
A massive 19-wallet Yes cluster is backed by several profitable high-volume bettors and sharp win-rate profiles, despite meaningful opposing No flow.
$692,234Score: 28.8 - Linked Yes cluster with sharps
Surface: a large 26-wallet Yes cluster includes several proven profitable sports/event traders and a linked-funder pattern, despite notable opposing No flow.
$513,572Score: 26.7 - 38-wallet Yes surge
High-conviction one-sided flow: 38 wallets, including linked wallets, pushed strongly into Yes with a major volume spike and 23-point price move.
$5,111Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 22.2 - 38-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow from 38 wallets, including linked funding, backed by a highly profitable high-volume trader and a major price move.
$3,441Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 20.9 - 91% winner joins 38-wallet push
Elite 91% lifetime winner is buying Yes alongside a large 38-wallet one-sided push, with volume and price both surging.
$1,221Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 17.8 - 98% winner backing No
Elite 98% win-rate wallet with nearly $2M profit is buying No alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$6,360Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 17.7 - $10M-profit bettor joins cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is making a $177.8k BUY Yes bet alongside a 22-wallet one-sided flow and an 83x volume spike.
$177,803Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 17.4 - Proven winner in 22-wallet rush
A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor bought Yes alongside a large 22-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$23,500Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 16.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5e4dbe…b874$2,087,790 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x38f0b7…2768$1,013,623 · 1 market · 17 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$523,664 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x4064f0…f741$152,477 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x84288c…9210$99,656 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x2d7be5…e2ce$70,584 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xc430e5…1ebf$54,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x4328b2…0310$50,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x86d2d4…731d$37,750 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xa79e53…1fb0$33,095 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the United States vs. Paraguay prediction market odds?
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the United States vs. Paraguay World Cup match, focused on whether the United States will win on June 12, 2026. Check the live market price for the current implied probability.
What is the smart money doing on United States vs. Paraguay?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,770 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal: a big buy from a bettor labeled 5-0.
Is this market only about the United States winning?
Yes. The listed child market for this event is whether the United States will win on June 12, 2026, rather than a full three-way soccer result board.
When does United States vs. Paraguay resolve on Polymarket?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 13, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, after the World Cup match result is known.