Part of: United States vs. Paraguay
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
28 smart money signals detected, totaling $484,709.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Fresh whale backs underdog
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and bought $9.5k of Paraguay Yes amid a major pre-game volume spike, though it has no resolved track record yet.
- A 5-hour-old wallet has already placed three large flagged bets totaling $19.5k.
- This trade put $9.5k on Paraguay Yes at 23¢, backing a low-probability outcome with conviction.
- Market activity is surging before the game, with volume running 126x above its historical average.
$9,460 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale backing underdog
A brand-new wallet made a $50k underdog bet on Paraguay after already posting a large early profit, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- A 22-hour-old wallet put $50k on Paraguay at 23¢.
- This new bettor is already up $72.8k on one resolved bet and has had $60.6k flagged so far.
- Market activity spiked 222x versus its historical average before the match.
$50,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a huge sample is placing a $331k bet on Paraguay not winning amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $10.1M lifetime across 1,612 resolved bets.
- They placed a $331k bet on No, showing strong conviction at 77¢.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 222x above its historical average.
$331,460 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
95% winner buying No
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate is buying Paraguay No with meaningful size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $84.9k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 175 events with a 95% hit rate.
- The $5.0k buy on No at 77¢ backs the current favorite side with proven sharp-money conviction.
$5,027 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
85% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Paraguay Yes at 24¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $112.8K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 78 events and $126K in similar event trades.
- Entry at 24¢ implies they see Paraguay as a mispriced underdog opportunity.
$1,523 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
90% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay Yes at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $15.7K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 60¢ odds, showing they have beaten market expectations by a wide margin.
- They bought Paraguay at 24¢, implying they see the underdog as underpriced.
$1,114 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
84% winner buys No
Surfacing because a proven sharp wallet with 84% win rate and +$105k lifetime P&L bought No despite the trade being modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $105,770 lifetime.
- They have traded across 55 events and 60 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 77¢ means they are backing Paraguay not to win at roughly 1.3x payout.
$1,001 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
90% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay Yes at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $15.7K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 60¢ odds, showing they have beaten market expectations by a wide margin.
- They bought Paraguay at 24¢, implying they see the underdog as underpriced.
$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Elite bettor buying No
Elite sports bettor with an 88% historical win rate and $3.15M profit bought Paraguay No at 76¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.15M lifetime.
- They are a high-volume sports trader across 875 events with an 88% win rate.
- Market volume is surging 130x above its historical average before the match.
$2,798 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L bought $12.2k of No despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $17,960 lifetime.
- They put $12.2k on No at 76¢ in a highly liquid soccer market.
- Their past wins came at 69¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just heavy favorites.
$12,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10259467, $1,350,788
- 0x611a...c189 — Outcome 61818169, $918,378
- 0xa5c5...2e6b — Outcome 61818169, $332,306 (83% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 61818169, $274,659 (89% win rate)
- 0xd190...38f9 — Outcome 61818169, $52,412 (100% win rate)
- 0x1cdc...40d8 — Outcome 61818169, $43,156 (100% win rate)
- 0x9022...b6bc — Outcome 61818169, $40,340
- 0x14b9...f378 — Outcome 61818169, $38,450 (59% win rate)
- 0xedd9...f79b — Outcome 61818169, $29,999
- 0x933e...901f — Outcome 61818169, $29,582
