Event

Gemini Carbon released by...?

1 signal across 1 market · $2,509 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This event tracks the prediction market on whether Google will publicly release Gemini Carbon—or a model confirmed to be the same one described in the report—by November 9, 2026. The event has one market, and its latest tracked smart-money signal shows a profitable bettor adding to No.

Markets (1)

  1. Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?1 signal · $2,509 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable bettor adding to No

    The trader added a sizable No bet in a thin market and has a strong lifetime profit, though their win rate does not clearly exceed their typical winning odds.

    $2,509Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x62cf46…5826$2,509 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds that Google releases Gemini Carbon by November 9, 2026?

The event page tracks the market’s current odds for a public release by November 9, 2026. Odds can change as traders buy and sell.

What counts as a Gemini Carbon release?

The market resolves Yes if Google makes Gemini Carbon, or a model confirmed to be the same model described in the report, available to the general public by the deadline.

What is smart money doing on the Gemini Carbon market?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal in this event: a profitable bettor adding to No. The event has $2,509 in tracked smart-money activity.

When does the Gemini Carbon release market resolve?

The child market asks whether Gemini Carbon is released by November 9, 2026. Check the market rules for the final resolution details.