GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 signals across 3 markets · $13,035 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2028
This Polymarket event tracks whether GRVT’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million one day after launch. Traders are pricing the post-launch FDV based on token supply, expected market price, and early liquidity, with PolySpotter tracking $1,190 in smart money activity and a signal from a profitable event trader.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable crypto bettor adding Yes
A profitable 75% win-rate wallet made a $3.2k Yes bet across a very quiet GRVT market, including a large add after the price moved sharply upward.
$3,241Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.5 - Profitable bettor on thin market
Profitable 75% win-rate wallet is buying Yes in a thin crypto FDV market, with the trade far exceeding recent volume and matching a cross-market thesis.
$1,442Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.5 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is effectively buying Yes in a thin GRVT FDV market while also positioning across related markets, with price momentum already moving in its favor.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.5 - Profitable event trader
A historically profitable wallet with 601 resolved bets is buying No at 70¢ across related GRVT markets, suggesting a repeat bettor taking a directional view rather than random flow.
$1,190Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - Profitable cross-market crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is backing Yes via a No sell while also positioning across three related GRVT markets in a quiet market.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable high-sample wallet is taking a cross-market No position on a thin GRVT FDV market, suggesting a researched thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$1,599Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - 96% winner buying Yes
Surface because a profitable 96% win-rate wallet is buying Yes and positioning across related GRVT launch markets despite only moderate alert severity.
$1,144Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 3.0 - 96% winner buying crypto FDV
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.
$1,218Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa3e9a7…63d0$5,989 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x604a15…a58e$4,683 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x2f28c1…ba03$2,362 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the odds that GRVT FDV will be above $200M after launch?
The market odds reflect what Polymarket traders currently believe about whether GRVT’s fully diluted valuation will exceed $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how informed traders are positioning.
What does this GRVT prediction market cover?
This event covers the outcome of GRVT’s governance token FDV one day after launch, specifically whether it will be above $200 million. The FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price.
What is smart money doing in the GRVT FDV market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,190 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal from a profitable event trader. That activity can help indicate whether experienced traders are leaning toward the FDV clearing the $200 million threshold or falling below it.
When does the GRVT FDV market resolve?
The market resolves based on GRVT’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token’s launch. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable for the launch condition to count.
How is GRVT’s FDV determined for this market?
GRVT’s fully diluted valuation is determined by multiplying the total token supply by the token price at the specified resolution time. If that value is greater than $200 million, the market resolves Yes; otherwise, it resolves No.