What is the GRVT FDV prediction market about?

The market predicts whether GRVT’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million one day after launch.

How is GRVT’s fully diluted valuation calculated?

GRVT FDV is calculated by multiplying the token’s total supply by its market price.

When does the GRVT market measure the token’s FDV?

The measurement occurs at 4:00 PM Eastern Time on the calendar day after GRVT launches its token.

What counts as a GRVT token launch?

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as launched for this market.

What is the current smart money activity for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $1,282 in smart money activity across one signal, including activity from profitable crypto and event traders.

Part of: GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This GRVT prediction market asks whether the governance token’s fully diluted valuation will exceed $200 million one day after launch. The outcome is based on total token supply multiplied by token price, with “one day after launch” defined as 4:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. Smart money activity currently includes $1,282 tracked across one signal.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,918.

Categories: FDV, Crypto, GRVT, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,282 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is backing Yes via a No sell while also positioning across three related GRVT markets in a quiet market.

This bettor has won 74% of 706 resolved trades and is up $61K lifetime.
They are positioning across 3 related GRVT markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.
This $1.5K trade was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$2,618 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,132 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$3,948 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,282 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$3,865 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,218 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is backing Yes via a No sell while also positioning across three related GRVT markets in a quiet market.

This bettor has won 74% of 706 resolved trades and is up $61K lifetime.
They are positioning across 3 related GRVT markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.
This $1.5K trade was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable bettor on thin market

Profitable 75% win-rate wallet is buying Yes in a thin crypto FDV market, with the trade far exceeding recent volume and matching a cross-market thesis.

This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $4,475 lifetime.
The $1.4K Yes buy was over 3x recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
They are also positioned across another related GRVT market, suggesting a broader launch-FDV thesis.

$1,442 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

0x7b5d...7a01 — Outcome 39231926, $29,798 (100% win rate)
0xf5e7...7380 — Outcome 39231926, $24,363
0x5b60...bc00 — Outcome 39231926, $7,042
0xb029...ae06 — Outcome 39231926, $2,820
0xaed2...8e93 — Outcome 39231926, $1,904
0xde28...a563 — Outcome 50332530, $1,585
0x95a9...c359 — Outcome 39231926, $1,450
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 39231926, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 39231926, $1,000
0x7d78...ffa6 — Outcome 39231926, $1,000

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None of these coins reach $1B

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GRVT FDV exceeds $300M post-launch

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GRVT launches between $100M–$200M

Covers 2 related markets

GRVT launches between $200M-$300M

Covers 3 related markets

FDV will exceed $500M

Covers 3 related markets

Anthropic will IPO by October

Covers 2 related markets

Variational FDV tops $1B

Covers 2 related markets

Fed hikes after July, by September

Covers 2 related markets

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

476dGRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?$23,918 tracked12 signalsFDVCryptoGRVTPre-Marketfdv

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “Yes”

97¢

80¢

62¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction