GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This Polymarket asks whether GRVT’s fully diluted valuation will be above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its token launch. For the market to count, the GRVT governance token must be publicly transferable and actively tradable, and resolution is based on FDV calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. The market is currently listed as a crypto pre-market contract and is set to resolve by January 1, 2028 if needed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,190.

Categories: fdv, Crypto, GRVT, Pre-Market

Notable Trades

Profitable event trader

A historically profitable wallet with 601 resolved bets is buying No at 70¢ across related GRVT markets, suggesting a repeat bettor taking a directional view rather than random flow.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 601 resolved trades and is up $55k lifetime
  • They are betting across 2 related GRVT markets, pointing to a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
  • Bought No at 70¢ in a market with under $10k 24h volume, a meaningful size for this book

$1,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa3e9...63d0 No, $14,134 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x3907...5d2e Yes, $5,936
  3. 0xa173...3315 No, $4,031
  4. 0x10d4...69eb Yes, $2,986 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xd396...4991 No, $2,000 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x7adb...0db9 Yes, $1,781
  7. 0xde28...a563 Yes, $1,585
  8. 0x6138...97a0 Yes, $1,530
  9. 0x825e...f0d6 No, $1,364
  10. 0x25dc...e33b No, $1,349 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

624d$1,190 tracked1 signalfdvCryptoGRVTPre-Market
Yes
33¢
No
67¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No
79¢
72¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

1h ago

$1,190 on No at 70¢

70¢67¢3¢

Related Theses

GRVT FDV Above $200M Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter