How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
1 signal across 1 market · $1,330 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks how many magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquakes occur worldwide between Dec. 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026, using USGS data for resolution. The main traded outcome is whether the final count will be 8 or fewer, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity and noting a recent move from a profitable wallet in a thin market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xaa99a6…dbbf$1,330 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for 7.0+ earthquakes by June 30?
The event’s odds reflect the market-implied probability that there will be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30. PolySpotter tracks price changes and smart money flow so you can see how traders are positioning as new earthquakes are reported.
What outcome is being traded in this earthquake prediction market?
This event currently centers on whether the total number of magnitude 7.0 or above earthquakes worldwide will be 8 or fewer during the market window. The count is based on qualifying USGS-recorded earthquakes between Dec. 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,330 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert noted that a profitable wallet moved in a thin market, which can be worth watching because smaller markets may react sharply to informed or high-conviction trades.
When does this earthquake market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the June 30, 2026 deadline, once the final number of qualifying magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes is confirmed through the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program.
What data source determines the final earthquake count?
Resolution is based on the United States Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program. If a substantial earthquake occurs during the market period but is not yet fully reflected in the USGS data, final settlement may depend on the official updated record.