How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 signals across 2 markets · $4,731 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks how many 25-basis-point rate hikes the Federal Reserve will make in 2026, including emergency moves and hikes at the December meeting. The event currently includes a market on whether there will be exactly two Fed rate hikes, with PolySpotter tracking smart money signals and recent activity.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner buys No in quiet market
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate placed a sizable No bet in an exceptionally quiet market, indicating meaningful conviction.
$1,823Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial macro trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large history is taking a fresh No position in a relatively quiet Fed 2026 market, though the individual trade size is modest.
$2,907Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa022ba…77f8$2,907 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$1,823 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Polymarket is tracking the number of Fed rate hikes in 2026, including a market asking whether exactly two hikes will occur. Check the live market prices for the latest implied odds.
What is smart money doing in the 2026 Fed rate hike market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,823 in smart money across this event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a 92% winner bought No in a quiet market.
How are Fed rate hikes counted in this market?
Each 25-basis-point increase counts as one hike. A 50-basis-point increase would count as two hikes, and emergency hikes outside scheduled FOMC meetings are included.
When does the 2026 Fed rate hike market resolve?
The event remains open through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, and resolves based on the exact number of qualifying Fed rate hikes during the year.