IPOs before 2027?
14 signals across 5 markets · $78,303 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for whether Anduril, Anthropic, or Discord will complete an IPO before 2027. PolySpotter is monitoring $57,868 in smart money across the event, with recent alerts including a proven event trader buying “No” and a 94% winner entering a thinly traded market.
Markets (5)
Top trades across all markets
- Discord IPO before 2027?
Three wallets simultaneously bought nearly $29.4k of Yes in an extremely quiet IPO market, creating a huge volume spike and concentrated one-sided flow that stands out despite limited track-record depth.
$29,441Score: 10.1 - 7-wallet funded cluster
A known 7-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes in a relatively quiet Anthropic IPO market, with the trade larger than recent 24h volume.
$3,836Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.8 - New repeat whale buying YES
Very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and added $4k to OpenAI IPO Yes, though it lacks a proven track record and is currently marked down.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.5 - Serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate bought $2.3k of Yes in a quiet OpenAI IPO market, making the trade large relative to recent activity.
$2,300Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 7.0 - Discord IPO before 2027?
Three wallets simultaneously sold Yes for $25.6k into a 202x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated bearish bet on Discord IPO odds.
$25,634Score: 6.4 - Proven event trader buys No
A high-volume, profitable cross-market trader with 601 resolved bets bought No at 89¢ in a lightly active Anduril IPO market, adding a credible follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,241Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial contrarian
A profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the contrarian No side on a quiet OpenAI IPO market with a bet far larger than recent volume.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor fading IPO odds
A modestly profitable 78% win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian No side on Anthropic IPO before 2027, with a better current No price than their implied entry.
$1,068Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 3.0 - 78% winner buys No
A profitable 78% win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian No side on a quiet long-dated IPO market at an effective 13¢ entry.
$1,742Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 3.0 - Sharp 88% winner
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making the $1.05k Yes buy worth surfacing despite the low composite score.
$1,054Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x76aaa2…c4f4$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa2cd4c…2ba0$3,836 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xed7b58…5cbe$2,810 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xcaab19…24dd$2,659 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xd3316c…733c$2,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x6a5e99…c8c1$1,553 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x5cd5c8…ac33$1,444 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x5fa03d…c20f$1,319 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xc6dd72…4b9f$1,241 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x96f919…1d08$1,054 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What companies are included in the IPOs before 2027 prediction market?
This event includes child markets for Anduril, Anthropic, and Discord, each asking whether the company will complete an initial public offering before the end of 2026.
What are the odds of Anduril, Anthropic, or Discord going public before 2027?
The odds are set by Polymarket traders and move as new information, liquidity, and smart money activity enters each child market. PolySpotter tracks the event as a whole so you can compare IPO expectations across all three companies.
What is the smart money doing in this IPO event?
PolySpotter has tracked $57,868 in smart money across this event and 4 signals so far. Recent alerts include a proven event trader buying “No” and a high-win-rate trader buying in a thin market, suggesting some sophisticated bettors are taking positions against at least one IPO happening before 2027.
When does the IPOs before 2027 event resolve?
The markets are scheduled to resolve based on whether each listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, using official company announcements or credible news sources.
How would a merger or acquisition affect these IPO markets?
If a listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the resolution deadline, that company’s market is expected to resolve to “No” under the event rules.