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Event

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,421 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether John Ratcliffe will cease serving as CIA director by December 31, 2026, with Yes and No outcomes. PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal: a profitable bettor added to No; check the live market for current odds.

Markets (1)

  1. John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?1 signal · $1,421 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable bettor adds to No

    A profitable, highly active bettor added a sizable No position in a thin market, with the trade exceeding three times the market's 24-hour volume.

    $1,421Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 3.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xaa99a6…dbbf$1,421 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Ratcliffe stays CIA director through year-end

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds that John Ratcliffe leaves as CIA director?

The market trades Yes and No outcomes. Check the live event page for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.

What is smart money doing in the John Ratcliffe CIA director market?

PolySpotter has tracked one signal, with a profitable bettor adding to No. This is a single tracked trade, not a consensus forecast.

When does the John Ratcliffe CIA director market resolve?

The market is set to resolve by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time. An announcement by that deadline that Ratcliffe will resign or be removed triggers Yes, even if the departure takes effect later.

What counts as John Ratcliffe being out as CIA director?

The market resolves Yes if Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the CIA for any period between market creation and the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No.