Event

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

1 signal across 1 market · $4,717 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the margin of victory in the 2026 Kansas 3rd Congressional District House election, with a market on whether the winning candidate's lead will be 10%–15%. PolySpotter has tracked $4,717 in smart-money activity across the event, including a signal from a profitable serial trader backing No on that margin range.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?1 signal · $4,717 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial trader backs No

    A profitable serial cross-market trader put $4,717 into No on a thinly traded election-margin market, making this a notable conviction bet despite the long time until resolution.

    $4,717Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc8b9a3…b836$4,717 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for the KS-03 House election margin?

The event covers whether the winner's margin in the 2026 KS-03 House election will be between 10% and 15%. Check the market for current odds, which can change over time.

What is smart money betting on in the KS-03 margin market?

PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal for the event: a profitable serial trader backed No on the 10%–15% margin outcome. That means the trader took the position that the margin will not fall in that range.

Does this market predict which candidate will win KS-03?

This event is about the margin between the top two candidates, not a specific candidate's chance of winning. The listed market asks whether that margin will be 10%–15%.

When does the KS-03 House election market resolve?

The election is expected on November 3, 2026. The event is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026, at 04:59 UTC, according to its listed resolution time.