PolySpotter

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Event

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

1 signal across 1 market · $4,643 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the margin of victory in the 2026 Kentucky 4th District House election, with a market asking whether the Republican candidate will win by 30%–35%. A PolySpotter alert reports that a profitable serial trader added to No on that outcome; the event shows $4,643 in tracked smart-money activity.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%-35%?1 signal · $4,643 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial trader adds to No

    A broadly profitable serial cross-market trader added a sizable No position in a thin market, though the alert is partly routine scaling of an existing position.

    $4,643Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc8b9a3…b836$4,643 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
GOP margin falls outside 30–35%

FAQs

What outcome is traded in the KY-04 House election margin market?

The event covers whether the Republican candidate wins the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%–35%. The market resolves based on the difference in valid-vote percentages between the top two candidates.

What are the Polymarket odds for a 30%–35% Republican victory margin?

Check the live market price on this page for the current odds. Prices can change as traders update their positions.

What is smart money doing in the KY-04 margin market?

PolySpotter reports an alert that a profitable serial trader added to No. The event tracks $4,643 in smart-money activity, but one signal does not establish an overall market consensus.

When does the KY-04 House election market resolve?

The election is expected on November 3, 2026. The event is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026 at 04:59 UTC, according to its listed terms.