Event

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

21 signals across 3 markets · $129,642 tracked · resolves Apr 18, 2026

GIANTX vs Natus Vincere is an LEC Regular Season best-of-three League of Legends event with prediction markets on the match winner plus Game 1 and Game 2 outcomes. PolySpotter is tracking $129,642 in smart money across 21 signals, including a 10-wallet esports pile-in, a 9-wallet GIANTX cluster, and contrarian buying activity.

Markets (3)

  1. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner7 signals · $60,406 tracked
  2. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season9 signals · $42,505 tracked
  3. LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner5 signals · $26,731 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 10-wallet esports pile-in

    A 10-wallet cluster piled into Natus Vincere with strong coordinated flow and several profitable wallets, helping drive the price from the 40s-70s up to 88¢ ahead of the match.

    $24,648Score: 22.3
  2. 9-wallet GIANTX cluster

    A 9-wallet cluster pushed over $41k into GIANTX in a mid-liquidity esports market during a huge pre-event volume spike, making the coordinated directional flow notable despite mixed wallet quality.

    $41,117Score: 18.2
  3. 6-wallet contrarian cluster

    Six wallets piled into Natus Vincere for over $20.8k in minutes at 45-52¢ before the market swung hard against them, making this a notable coordinated contrarian bet despite mixed wallet quality.

    $20,824Score: 15.2
  4. 95% win-rate bettor buys

    A very sharp wallet with a 95% win rate joined coordinated buying on Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

    $2,183Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 15.0
  5. New wallet esports cluster

    A brand-new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into GIANTX during a huge pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated conviction flow worth watching despite no proven track record yet.

    $5,245Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 14.5
  6. 7-wallet NAVI pile-in

    A very new wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided surge into Natus Vincere during a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the small single-wallet sample.

    $1,699Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 12.6
  7. 8-wallet GIANTX cluster

    A very new wallet is part of an 8-wallet one-sided cluster that put over $35k into GIANTX, making this coordinated conviction flow worth surfacing despite the poor current mark.

    $3,659Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 12.4
  8. Sharp bettor joins surge

    A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 80% win rate reopened a Natus Vincere position during a major one-sided buying wave that already pushed the price from 60¢ to 75¢.

    $1,247Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 12.1
  9. 5-wallet new-money cluster

    A very new wallet is part of a 5-wallet one-sided cluster that bought Natus Vincere heavily before this market moved sharply against them, making it notable coordinated conviction despite the weak individual track record.

    $1,621Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 12.1
  10. Sharp bettor in 5-wallet cluster

    A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into GIANTX, but the fill at 50¢ versus current 8¢ suggests the market has moved sharply against that entry.

    $985Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 11.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x689c376b1e$10,525 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 55% wins
  2. 0x886ebcafd6$5,882 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
  3. 0x7714c1b814$2,684 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
  4. 0xf7c2669b8d$2,183 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  5. 0xd3b034329e$2,177 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 60% wins
  6. 0x43ff86a491$1,751 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  7. 0x124e496802$1,733 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  8. 0x1e35c42614$1,699 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
  9. 0xfc92b42e78$1,511 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  10. 0x31864fe9ca$1,490 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the GIANTX vs Natus Vincere odds on Polymarket?

This event tracks prediction-market odds for the full BO3 match winner, along with separate Game 1 and Game 2 winner markets. Prices can move as traders react to lineups, form, and smart money activity.

What smart money is betting on GIANTX vs Natus Vincere?

PolySpotter has tracked $129,642 in smart money across 21 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 10-wallet esports pile-in, a 9-wallet GIANTX cluster, a 6-wallet contrarian cluster, and buying from a 95% win-rate bettor.

Does this event include only the match winner market?

No. The event hub covers three related markets: the BO3 match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner. That lets traders compare sentiment across both the overall match and individual maps.

When does GIANTX vs Natus Vincere resolve?

The market is tied to the LEC Regular Season match scheduled for April 18 at 11:00 AM ET, with resolution expected after a winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50.

Why watch smart money for this LoL prediction market?

Esports markets can move quickly when experienced wallets take positions. Clusters like the GIANTX pile-in or contrarian wallet activity can highlight where sharp traders may disagree with the current market price.