LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers who will win Game 2 of the LEC Regular Season League of Legends match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere, scheduled for April 18. The market resolves to the Game 2 winner only, even if the full match is not completed after that map. PolySpotter tracks $15,990 in smart money across 4 signals, with recent betting activity highlighting both GIANTX and NAVI interest.
This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,406.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
8-wallet GIANTX cluster
A very new wallet is part of an 8-wallet one-sided cluster that put over $35k into GIANTX, making this coordinated conviction flow worth surfacing despite the poor current mark.
- Eight wallets all bought GIANTX in the same window, totaling $35.3k on one side
- This wallet is just 1 day old and has already been flagged 7 times for large bets, with $19.6k in recent activity
- They paid 58¢ for GIANTX while the market is now 26¢, showing aggressive conviction rather than routine trading
$3,659 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp cluster chased NAVI
Three wallets piled into Natus Vincere across related markets, including one bettor with a huge profitable history, and their buying helped drive the price from 67¢/40¢ to 93¢.
- One bettor wins 75% of 1,297 resolved markets and is up $1.2M lifetime.
- Three wallets all bet Natus Vincere in a short burst, totaling $8.1k and pushing the price up about 27 points.
- The earliest buys came at 40¢ and 67¢, well below the current 93¢ market price.
$8,136 on Natus Vincere
8-wallet GIANTX cluster
Eight wallets piled into GIANTX with $35k total and this wallet is an unusually active cross-market bettor, but the trader bought at 60¢ and the market is now 26¢ so this is more notable as coordinated flow than as a copyable entry.
- Eight wallets all bought GIANTX on this game, putting $35k behind the same side.
- This wallet is active across 29 related markets and 26 events, with 102 resolved bets and a small positive lifetime profit.
- The market saw a 25x volume spike, but this trader paid 60¢ and the price is now 26¢, so the original entry is no longer attractive.
$2,684 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 62%
8-wallet GIANTX cluster
An 8-wallet cluster piled into GIANTX with $35k total, and this wallet is a seasoned cross-market bettor with solid profits, making the coordinated flow worth watching despite the volatile price move.
- 8 wallets all bought GIANTX on this game, putting $35.3k behind the same side
- This wallet has 110 resolved bets, a 60% win rate, and is up $72.4k overall
- The market saw a 25x volume spike before game time, showing unusual attention on this outcome
$1,511 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 60%
9-wallet GIANTX cluster
A 9-wallet cluster pushed over $41k into GIANTX in a mid-liquidity esports market during a huge pre-event volume spike, making the coordinated directional flow notable despite mixed wallet quality.
- Nine wallets bought $41k of GIANTX in a short burst, a strong one-sided signal in a market with only $28k of prior 24h volume.
- Market activity exploded to 344x normal volume, and this cluster bought around 54-60¢ while GIANTX now sits near 56¢.
- One newly created wallet has already been flagged repeatedly and put nearly $20k to work, showing aggressive early conviction.
$41,117 on GIANTX
95% win-rate bettor buys
A very sharp wallet with a 95% win rate joined coordinated buying on Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up about $303k across 350 resolved positions
- 4 wallets all bought Natus Vincere, totaling nearly $12k, during a 344x volume spike on this market
- They entered at 42¢ while the market now shows 44¢, suggesting they saw Natus Vincere as undervalued
$2,183 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%
4-wallet NAVI pile-in
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 4-wallet one-sided move into Natus Vincere during a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.
- Four wallets all bought Natus Vincere, putting nearly $12k behind the same side
- This bettor has 1,329 resolved bets and is up $66k lifetime, so this is not a random new account
- They bought at 45¢ during a 344x volume surge, a level that implies meaningful upside if their read is right
$1,115 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — GIANTX, $56,882 (50% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Natus Vincere, $39,957 (75% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Natus Vincere, $35,333 (100% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Natus Vincere, $30,265 (50% win rate)
- 0xe3aa...1485 — Natus Vincere, $20,861 (51% win rate)
- 0x6842...20d0 — GIANTX, $18,821 (45% win rate)
- 0x17f1...af18 — GIANTX, $17,776 (56% win rate)
- 0x14f1...4a46 — Natus Vincere, $15,888
- 0x6204...0b06 — GIANTX, $13,113 (35% win rate)
- 0x3b63...4acd — Natus Vincere, $7,557
