LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
22 signals across 3 markets · $71,036 tracked · resolves Apr 15, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the LPL Group Nirvana BO3 match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming, including the full match winner plus Game 1 and Game 2 winner markets. PolySpotter has tracked $71,036 in smart money across 22 signals, including multi-wallet esports pile-ins, steam moves, and activity from an 84% win-rate esports sharp.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet esports pile-in
Four wallets piled into ThunderTalk Gaming as the price ripped from 47¢ to 92¢, including two high-volume cross-market bettors with strong long-run records, making this coordinated esports move worth watching despite the now-expensive price.
$7,628Score: 18.7 - 84% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought Ultra Prime at 48¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting a sharp entry worth tracking.
$1,750Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 17.9 - 3-wallet esports steam move
Three wallets piled into ThunderTalk in minutes at 44-57¢ and immediately moved the price to 82%, with one wallet showing a solid 65% hit rate across 39 related markets.
$4,571Score: 11.9 - Sharp bettor caught 47¢ entry
A highly active profitable bettor with a 75% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into ThunderTalk Gaming at 47¢ before the price ripped to 84%, making this a strong momentum-and-sharp-flow signal.
$1,686Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 11.1 - 5-wallet UP cluster
Five wallets piled into Ultra Prime during a huge pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a highly active cross-market bettor with a large enough sample to make the coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest stake.
$985Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 10.6 - 5-wallet esports cluster
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor joined a 5-wallet one-sided cluster buying Ultra Prime during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the modest standalone win rate.
$2,040Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 10.6 - 4-wallet esports pile-in
Four wallets piled into ThunderTalk Gaming before a 32-point move, and this wallet is a proven high-volume cross-market bettor with a solid 61% win rate.
$1,580Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 10.5 - 9-wallet Ultra Prime cluster
A 9-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Ultra Prime during an extreme pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a highly active cross-market bettor with a long profitable history.
$1,670Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 9.6 - 88% win-rate bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate made a fresh $8.2k buy at even odds, making this a credible sharp-signal trade despite the liquid market.
$8,236Wallet win rate: 46%Score: 8.8 - 96% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 96% win rate and broad cross-market success is taking a fresh $1.5k position on ThunderTalk Gaming at even odds.
$1,491Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xaf7840…7736$9,846 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xe96fb5…ff4b$8,236 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
- 0x2f3bc6…0cf9$5,956 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x9770ca…0ff5$4,825 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x5e59c0…307d$3,156 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa2f1fe…2d22$2,785 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x5b100d…9659$2,655 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0x183f8b…85e3$2,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0xc90335…b175$1,969 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xc44f43…d49f$1,786 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming prediction market odds?
The event hub shows the latest Polymarket pricing for Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming, covering the overall BO3 match winner as well as Game 1 and Game 2 winner markets. Prices move as traders react to lineup news, in-game momentum, and sharp betting activity.
What is smart money doing on Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming?
PolySpotter has tracked $71,036 in smart money across this event, with 22 signals so far. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet esports pile-in, a 3-wallet steam move, and a 5-wallet esports cluster, suggesting coordinated or high-conviction trading activity.
Are sharp bettors active in this LPL match market?
Yes. Recent PolySpotter alerts flagged an 84% win-rate esports sharp and a sharp bettor entering around 47¢, making this a match where experienced prediction-market traders appear to be active.
Which markets are included in this Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming event?
This event includes three related markets: the overall BO3 match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner. The hub view is designed to track the full trading picture across the match rather than just one outcome.
When does the Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming market resolve?
The event is tied to the LPL Group Nirvana match initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET, with resolution expected after a winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, settlement follows Polymarket’s stated resolution criteria.