LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Nirvana best-of-3 match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming, scheduled for April 15, 2026. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming as the two outcomes; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, special resolution rules apply. PolySpotter also tracks smart money activity on this market, including $1,786 in tracked sharp action and a recent alert tied to a 96% win-rate bettor.

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,786.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

96% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven wallet with a 96% win rate and $1.76M profit is buying ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $1.76M across 350 resolved bets
  • They trade heavily across 373 markets and 271 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢, a near coin-flip price with room to follow at up to 57¢

$1,786 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x183f...85e3 Ultra Prime, $8,195 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x8e8c...65dd Ultra Prime, $7,024 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x74a8...df59 ThunderTalk Gaming, $4,567 (47% win rate)
  4. 0xb40e...7787 ThunderTalk Gaming, $3,542 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xc44f...d49f ThunderTalk Gaming, $3,435 (96% win rate)
  6. 0xdd88...dadb ThunderTalk Gaming, $3,000 (55% win rate)
  7. 0xe96f...ff4b Ultra Prime, $2,083 (87% win rate)
  8. 0xde04...fa37 ThunderTalk Gaming, $1,737 (52% win rate)
  9. 0xb9ab...f282 Ultra Prime, $1,508 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xe922...39b3 Ultra Prime, $1,020 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

15h$1,786 tracked1 signalEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Ultra Prime
49¢
ThunderTalk Gaming
52¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “ThunderTalk Gaming
59¢
48¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

2h ago

$1,786 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢

52¢52¢

Related Theses

Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter