Part of: LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,487.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

80% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate bought ThunderTalk Gaming into a sharp pre-match volume and price surge, making this a followable momentum bet despite the favorite price.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 922 bets and is up about $197k lifetime.
  • They bought nearly $4k of ThunderTalk Gaming at 76¢ as the market jumped 17 points in 3 minutes.
  • Volume was 17.4x normal before the match, which supports the idea that sharp money was piling in.

$3,971 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%

80% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate bought ThunderTalk at 75¢ as the market was moving sharply, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their resolved trades and is up about $197k on $2.5M invested.
  • They have traded 789 markets across 737 events, so this looks like a repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought ThunderTalk at 75¢ while that side was surging nearly 19 points, showing conviction behind the move.

$1,985 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%

17-0 serial esports bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 17-for-17 resolved record bought ThunderTalk during a large pre-match volume spike, making this worth tracking despite the modest ticket size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 17 resolved markets and is up nearly $11.9k on $44.4k invested.
  • They have traded across 77 related event markets, which suggests a repeatable event-driven betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought ThunderTalk at 54¢ during a 46.8x volume spike, and the market is now available around 50¢.

$3,156 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% win-rate bettor

A highly proven wallet with a 98% win rate and nearly $3.0M profit opened a fresh position at even odds, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across 317 markets and 204 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Ultra Prime at 50¢, implying they see even odds as mispriced.

$1,221 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 98%

85% win-rate esports bettor

A proven profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and $247k P&L made a nearly $10k fresh buy on Ultra Prime, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their resolved trades and is up about $247k overall.
  • They have bet across 43 markets in 30 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off gamble.
  • They just put nearly $10k into Ultra Prime at 49¢, a meaningful position in a match priced close to a coin flip.

$9,846 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 88%

3-wallet esports pile-in

Three wallets piled into ThunderTalk in minutes and helped push the price from 52-57¢ to 68¢, led by one bettor with a strong 78% win rate over 402 resolved markets.

  • Three wallets bought ThunderTalk within 10 minutes, totaling $5.0k and pushing the price up 17 points
  • The strongest wallet wins 78% of its bets across 402 resolved markets and is up $43.5k lifetime
  • They got in at 52-57¢ and the market is already 68¢, showing immediate follow-through

$5,010 on ThunderTalk Gaming

96% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable wallet with a 96% win rate and broad cross-market success is taking a fresh $1.5k position on ThunderTalk Gaming at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up about $200k across 291 resolved positions
  • They have placed bets across 520 events and 550 markets, so this is a proven repeat winner rather than a one-off hot streak
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming at 50¢, implying they see even odds as mispriced

$1,491 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp serial event bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate and $328k profit sold ThunderTalk at 49¢, equivalent to buying Ultra Prime near 51¢ during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,079 resolved trades and is up $328k lifetime.
  • The trade came during a 218x volume spike, suggesting broader money was rushing into this match.
  • Selling ThunderTalk at 49¢ is equivalent to buying Ultra Prime around 51¢, close to the current market price.

$2,785 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 76%

88% win-rate bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate made a fresh $8.2k buy at even odds, making this a credible sharp-signal trade despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $183.5k overall
  • They have traded 48 markets across 31 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought $8.2k of Ultra Prime at 50¢, implying they see the match as better than a coin flip

$8,236 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 92%

96% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven wallet with a 96% win rate and $1.76M profit is buying ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $1.76M across 350 resolved bets
  • They trade heavily across 373 markets and 271 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢, a near coin-flip price with room to follow at up to 57¢

$1,786 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe96f...ff4b Outcome 51845762, $52,081 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 51845762, $40,578 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 51845762, $28,178 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xaf78...7736 Outcome 51845762, $20,094 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xb8cb...8f46 Outcome 51845762, $7,434 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 51845762, $4,000 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x684e...2d3a Outcome 51845762, $2,500
  8. 0x6239...1d79 Outcome 51845762, $2,239 (62% win rate)
  9. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 51845762, $2,222 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 51845762, $2,130 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 12 related markets

G2 wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE beats NIP

Covers 3 related markets

magic sweeps 9z in series

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

ResolvedLoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$39,487 tracked10 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Ultra Prime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$3,971 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 76¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$1,985 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 75¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$3,156 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 54¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$1,221 on Ultra Prime at 50¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$9,846 on Ultra Prime at 49¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$5,010 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 54¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$1,491 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 50¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$2,785 on Ultra Prime at 51¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$8,236 on Ultra Prime at 50¢

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

45d ago

$1,786 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 52¢

Related Theses